Apple's WWDC26 Keynote, Jun 8, 2026
At the keynote on Jun 8, 2026, Apple said 12 of the 49 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 48 of 48 checked settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
Updated
Markets
49 words · 12 settled yes · our count agreed on 48 of 48- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi - Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket - Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Intelligence | Yes | 24 | 52 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tool | Yes | 7 | 17 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Update / Updated | Yes | 4 | 17 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Developer | Yes | 3 | 16 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Personal | Yes | 3 | 20 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Powerful | Yes | 3 | 25 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Siri | Yes | 2 | 100 | ✓ | 34%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 1 | 30 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ecosystem | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Excited | Yes | 1 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hardware | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gemini | Yes | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 19%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Apple Intelligence 5+ times | No | 2 | 52 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 49%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Privacy | No | 0 | 11 | ✓ | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 20+ times | No | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Amazing | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple Pay | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple Silicon | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ChatGPT | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cheaper | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Customize / Customization | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Effortless | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fluid | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Generative | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Glow | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – | |
| M5 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Macbook 10+ times | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Microsoft | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Milestone | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Overhaul | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Privilege | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sleek | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vision Pro | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Anthropic / Claude | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Doorbell | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Extend / Extension | No | 0 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| iOS 27 | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nvidia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Open Source | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ternus | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Visual Intelligence | No | 0 | 8 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Streaming | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Apple TV | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fold / Foldable | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · Apple (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
17 matches for “Tool”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…great experiences across their apps. We've seen that when we put powerful tools into people's hands, they can do extraordinary things from extraordinary places, places…
…year, we're taking a big step, expanding our child safety features with powerful and intuitive tools. To tell you about our approach, here's Sumbul. [music]
To sum it up, we're giving parents powerful, easy-to-use tools to help manage what kids can see, who they can talk to, and when they…
…Apple intelligence can draw on the app toolbox to find the right tools from your apps to complete your request. Like when you're drafting an…
…with a dedicated app. Plus, Siri AI has expansive visual intelligence, integrated tools for writing, and more. Siri AI will be available in English to…
Where the listed words were said
…and trusted platform for kids. And third, a big leap forward for Apple intelligence with an innovative architecture that unlocks a new Siri across platforms…
…Next, for developers, there's a lot to be excited about with new tools and technologies to help you build incredible apps. Now you can bring…
…talk about our next set of releases, where we have some exciting updates to share. This year, we put our focus into three areas. First,…
our most capable iPhone, iPad, and Mac systems. Developers can start trying out our new version of Siri today. And for customers, we'll be launching…
…them. And the next generation of Apple intelligence introduces new capabilities, including Siri AI, that delivers rich conversations and draws upon your personal context to…
…experiences now enhanced with intelligence, not replaced by it. Our app [music] ecosystem has never been more vibrant, more developers, more apps, more innovation than…
…be personal, powerful, and easy to use. The tight integration of our hardware and our software unlocks the full potential of each of our products.…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/apple:2026-06-08:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=apple:2026-06-08:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP