Craig Federighi

Business · Tech leadersPersonMachine-attributedUpdated Oct 25, 2026, 06:42 UTC

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As of Oct 25, 2026, Polymarket has settled 17 word markets on Craig Federighi’s appearances since 2026, on 17 different words.

History Wall

1–17 of 17, most settled first

Craig Federighi: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Jun 8latest	Last 1	Settled	Probability
Apple Intelligence	24 times: Apple Intelligence, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Developer	3 times: Developer, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Ecosystem	1 time: Ecosystem, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Gemini	2 times: Gemini, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Siri	16 times: Siri, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Tool	7 times: Tool, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Update / Updated	4 times: Update / Updated, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
ChatGPT	0 times: ChatGPT, Jun 8 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Customize / Customization	0 times: Customize / Customization, Jun 8 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Effortless	0 times: Effortless, Jun 8 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Fluid	0 times: Fluid, Jun 8 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Generative	0 times: Generative, Jun 8 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Glow	0 times: Glow, Jun 8 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Milestone	0 times: Milestone, Jun 8 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Open Source	0 times: Open Source, Jun 8 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Overhaul	0 times: Overhaul, Jun 8 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Sleek	0 times: Sleek, Jun 8 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Craig Federighi: mention market word history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/craig-federighi (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/craig-federighi · words: /api/v1/history?entity=craig-federighi · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP