What is the probability Tim Cook says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?

68%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Tim Cook say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?

Name: Tim Cook: “AI / Artificial Intelligence” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Cook said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.

Of the last 3 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 9, 2025 – Jun 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 12:09 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tim Cook

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 3 keynotes: said in 1 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Tim Cook say at Apple WWDC 2026 on June 8th? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 29 by speakers the rule does not count.

Tim Cookspeaker1:12:37In transcript

…And the next generation of Apple intelligence introduces new capabilities, including Siri AI, that delivers rich conversations and draws upon your personal context to help…

Craig Federighispeaker27:52In transcript

…a safe and trusted platform for kids. Now, let's turn to intelligence. AI is incredibly powerful technology with the potential to shape society in profound…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Jun 8, 2026	AI / Artificial Intelligence	Polymarket	Yes	1

Questions

How often does Tim Cook say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Cook said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
What is the probability Tim Cook says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?: 68%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tim Cook: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/tim-cook/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tim-cook&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tim-cook&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP