Will Craig Federighi say “Tool”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Craig Federighi said “Tool” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Jun 8, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Craig Federighi
Tool
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
7 counted; 10 by speakers the rule does not count.
…year, we're taking a big step, expanding our child safety features with powerful and intuitive tools. To tell you about our approach, here's Sumbul. [music]
To sum it up, we're giving parents powerful, easy-to-use tools to help manage what kids can see, who they can talk to, and when they…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Tool |  Polymarket | Yes | 7 |
Questions
- How often does Craig Federighi say “Tool”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Craig Federighi said “Tool” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Craig Federighi says “Tool” next time?
- 70%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Craig Federighi: ‘Tool’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/craig-federighi/words/tool (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=craig-federighi&word=tool · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=craig-federighi&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP