Tim Cook
As of Oct 24, 2026, Polymarket has settled 22 word markets on Tim Cook’s appearances since 2026, on 22 different words.
History Wall
1–22 of 22, most settled first| Word | Jun 8latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Developer | 6 times: Developer, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Excited | 1 time: Excited, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Personal | 3 times: Personal, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Powerful | 3 times: Powerful, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Siri | 2 times: Siri, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tool | 2 times: Tool, Jun 8 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Amazing | 0 times: Amazing, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Apple Intelligence5+ times | 2 times: Apple Intelligence 5+ times, Jun 8 keynote, below the threshold | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Apple Pay | 0 times: Apple Pay, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Apple Silicon | 0 times: Apple Silicon, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ChatGPT | 0 times: ChatGPT, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Cheaper | 0 times: Cheaper, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Gemini | 0 times: Gemini, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| 0 times: Google, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability | |
| M5 | 0 times: M5, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Macbook10+ times | 0 times: Macbook 10+ times, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Microsoft | 0 times: Microsoft, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Open Source | 0 times: Open Source, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Privilege | 0 times: Privilege, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Streaming | 0 times: Streaming, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Update / Updated | 0 times: Update / Updated, Jun 8 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Our transcript counts matched how 22 of 22 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | KeynoteWhat will Tim Cook say at Apple WWDC 2026 on June 8th? | Captions · machine-attributed | 22 | 7 yes · 15 no | 22/22 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Tim Cook: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/tim-cook (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/tim-cook · words: /api/v1/history?entity=tim-cook · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP