Apple (AAPL)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 267 word markets on Apple’s earnings calls and other events since 2025, on 129 different words; most reliably said: “Manufacturing” (5 of 5). Next call: Nov 2, 2026 (17 words listed).
| Word | Q4’24Oct '24 | Q1’25Jan '25 | Q2’25May '25 | Q3’25Jul '25 | Q4’25year ago | Q1’26Jan '26 | Q2’26Apr '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siri | 2 times: Siri, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 3 times: Siri, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 3 times: Siri, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Siri, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: Siri, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Siri, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Siri, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 11 times: Siri, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 34/8440% | 92%n=8+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 94¢ Kalshi |
| Manufacturing | 0 times: Manufacturing, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 2 times: Manufacturing, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 6 times: Manufacturing, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Manufacturing, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 6 times: Manufacturing, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Manufacturing, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: Manufacturing, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Manufacturing, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 6/875% | 42/8450% | 90%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 87¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 20 times: Tariff, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 17 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 6 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 9 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 10 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 6/875% | 10/8412% | 86%n=8+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 92¢ Kalshi |
| Formula 1 / F1 | 0 times: Formula 1 / F1, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 1 time: Formula 1 / F1, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Formula 1 / F1, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Formula 1 / F1, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: Formula 1 / F1, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 4 times: Formula 1 / F1, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Formula 1 / F1, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Formula 1 / F1, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 7/888% | 7/848% | 85%n=6+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 80¢ Kalshi |
| Private Cloud Compute | 2 times: Private Cloud Compute, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Private Cloud Compute, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Private Cloud Compute, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Private Cloud Compute, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 6 times: Private Cloud Compute, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: Private Cloud Compute, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Private Cloud Compute, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Private Cloud Compute, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 5/862% | 8/8410% | 77%transcripts from the transcript model | 75¢ Kalshi |
| Sport | 1 time: Sport, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Sport, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 3 times: Sport, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Sport, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 1 time: Sport, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Sport, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 1 time: Sport, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Sport, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 6/875% | 6/875% | 23/8427% | 68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 72¢ Kalshi |
| Apple Pay | 4 times: Apple Pay, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 0 times: Apple Pay, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 3 times: Apple Pay, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Apple Pay, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: Apple Pay, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Apple Pay, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Apple Pay, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Apple Pay, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 5/862% | 4/850% | 38/8445% | 63%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 73¢ Kalshi |
| Mac Studio | 0 times: Mac Studio, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Mac Studio, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 1 time: Mac Studio, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Mac Studio, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Mac Studio, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Mac Studio, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 3 times: Mac Studio, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Mac Studio, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 4/850% | 7/848% | 62%transcripts from the transcript model | 74¢ Kalshi |
| Broadcom | 0 times: Broadcom, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 2 times: Broadcom, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/841% | 46%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 38¢ Kalshi |
| Creator Studio | 0 times: Creator Studio, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Creator Studio, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Creator Studio, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Creator Studio, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Creator Studio, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Creator Studio, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Creator Studio, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Creator Studio, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 2/842% | 45%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 54¢ Kalshi |
| Liquid Glass | 0 times: Liquid Glass, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Liquid Glass, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Liquid Glass, Q2’25 May '25 | 1 time: Liquid Glass, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Liquid Glass, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Liquid Glass, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Liquid Glass, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Liquid Glass, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 2/825% | 2/825% | 2/842% | 20%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 12¢ Kalshi |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | 2 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 3 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q3’26 Jul '26 | falling | 3/838% | 3/838% | 4/845% | 16%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 16¢ Kalshi |
| Fold / Folding / Foldablenever said | 0 times: Fold / Folding / Foldable, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Fold / Folding / Foldable, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Fold / Folding / Foldable, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Fold / Folding / Foldable, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Fold / Folding / Foldable, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Fold / Folding / Foldable, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Fold / Folding / Foldable, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Fold / Folding / Foldable, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/840% | 14%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 78¢ Kalshi |
| Streaming | 0 times: Streaming, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Streaming, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Streaming, Q2’25 May '25 | 1 time: Streaming, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Streaming, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Streaming, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Streaming, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Streaming, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 19/8423% | 13%n=6+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 18¢ Kalshi |
| Widget | 0 times: Widget, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Widget, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Widget, Q2’25 May '25 | 2 times: Widget, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Widget, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Widget, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Widget, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Widget, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 2/842% | 13%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 10¢ Kalshi |
| iPhone 18never said | 0 times: iPhone 18, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: iPhone 18, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: iPhone 18, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: iPhone 18, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: iPhone 18, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: iPhone 18, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: iPhone 18, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: iPhone 18, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/840% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 90¢ Kalshi |
| Gemininever said | 0 times: Gemini, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Gemini, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Gemini, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Gemini, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Gemini, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Gemini, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Gemini, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Gemini, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/840% | 10%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 16¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 15:52 UTC.
Every word
1–40 of 122, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Q4’24Oct '24 | Q1’25Jan '25 | Q2’25May '25 | Q3’25Jul '25 | Q4’25Oct '25 | Q1’26Jan '26 | Q2’26Apr '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 7 times: China, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 12 times: China, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 10 times: China, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 15 times: China, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 9 times: China, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 16 times: China, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 9 times: China, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 6 times: China, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 75/8489% | 95%n=7+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Apple Intelligence | 22 times: Apple Intelligence, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 19 times: Apple Intelligence, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 8 times: Apple Intelligence, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 6 times: Apple Intelligence, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: Apple Intelligence, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Apple Intelligence, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 5 times: Apple Intelligence, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 5 times: Apple Intelligence, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 9/8411% | 76%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Wearable | 2 times: Wearable, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 2 times: Wearable, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Wearable, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Wearable, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: Wearable, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: Wearable, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: Wearable, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Wearable, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 39/8446% | 90%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Modem | 0 times: Modem, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Modem, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 2 times: Modem, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Modem, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Modem, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Modem, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Modem, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Modem, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 3/838% | 2/825% | 4/845% | 35%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| M3 | 0 times: M3, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: M3, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 3 times: M3, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: M3, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: M3, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: M3, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: M3, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: M3, Q3’26 Jul '26 | falling | 1/812% | 1/812% | 5/846% | 12%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Privacy | 2 times: Privacy, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 2 times: Privacy, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 4 times: Privacy, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Privacy, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Privacy, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Privacy, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: Privacy, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Privacy, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 6/875% | 38/8445% | 52%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Apple TV | 0 times: Apple TV, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Apple TV, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Apple TV, Q2’25 May '25 | 1 time: Apple TV, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 5 times: Apple TV, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Apple TV, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 5 times: Apple TV, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Apple TV, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 5/862% | 42/8450% | 8%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Trump | 0 times: Trump, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Trump, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Trump, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Trump, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/841% | 13%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| AirPods Pro | 2 times: AirPods Pro, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 2 times: AirPods Pro, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: AirPods Pro, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: AirPods Pro, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: AirPods Pro, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: AirPods Pro, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: AirPods Pro, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: AirPods Pro, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 16/8419% | 68%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Ecosystem | 2 times: Ecosystem, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 0 times: Ecosystem, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 1 time: Ecosystem, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Ecosystem, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 1 time: Ecosystem, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Ecosystem, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Ecosystem, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Ecosystem, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 4/850% | 4/850% | 63/8475% | 68%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Heart Rate | 0 times: Heart Rate, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 1 time: Heart Rate, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Heart Rate, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Heart Rate, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 1 time: Heart Rate, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Heart Rate, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Heart Rate, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Heart Rate, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 2/825% | 2/825% | 7/848% | 68%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| iCloud | 0 times: iCloud, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 1 time: iCloud, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: iCloud, Q2’25 May '25 | 1 time: iCloud, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: iCloud, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: iCloud, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: iCloud, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: iCloud, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 3/838% | 1/812% | 34/8440% | 48%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Service | 30 times: Service, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 29 times: Service, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 18 times: Service, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 21 times: Service, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 25 times: Service, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 35 times: Service, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 25 times: Service, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 29 times: Service, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 80/8495% | 97%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Hardware | 0 times: Hardware, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 1 time: Hardware, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Hardware, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Hardware, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Hardware, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Hardware, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 1 time: Hardware, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Hardware, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 55/8465% | 37%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| iPad | 15 times: iPad, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 25 times: iPad, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 12 times: iPad, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 15 times: iPad, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 17 times: iPad, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 21 times: iPad, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 16 times: iPad, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 18 times: iPad, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 66/8479% | 18%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Macbook | 3 times: Macbook, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 7 times: Macbook, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 4 times: Macbook, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 6 times: Macbook, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 9 times: Macbook, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Macbook, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 16 times: Macbook, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 15 times: Macbook, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 75/8489% | 23%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Regulation / regulator / regulatory | 0 times: Regulation / regulator / regulatory, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Regulation / regulator / regulatory, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Regulation / regulator / regulatory, Q2’25 May '25 | 1 time: Regulation / regulator / regulatory, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Regulation / regulator / regulatory, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Regulation / regulator / regulatory, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Regulation / regulator / regulatory, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Regulation / regulator / regulatory, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 5/862% | 19/8423% | 65%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Severance | 0 times: Severance, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 1 time: Severance, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: Severance, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Severance, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Severance, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Severance, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Severance, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Severance, Q3’26 Jul '26 | falling | 4/850% | 4/850% | 9/8411% | 32%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Vision Pro | 7 times: Vision Pro, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 3 times: Vision Pro, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 6 times: Vision Pro, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Vision Pro, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: Vision Pro, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Vision Pro, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Vision Pro, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Vision Pro, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 6/875% | 6/875% | 11/8413% | 17%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| AirTag | 0 times: AirTag, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 1 time: AirTag, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: AirTag, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: AirTag, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: AirTag, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: AirTag, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: AirTag, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: AirTag, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 4/845% | 12%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Anthropic / Claudenever said | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/840% | 9%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Apple Watch SE | 0 times: Apple Watch SE, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Apple Watch SE, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Apple Watch SE, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Apple Watch SE, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Apple Watch SE, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Apple Watch SE, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 1 time: Apple Watch SE, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Apple Watch SE, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 4/845% | 12%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| CarPlay | 0 times: CarPlay, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: CarPlay, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: CarPlay, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: CarPlay, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: CarPlay, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: CarPlay, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: CarPlay, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: CarPlay, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 7/848% | 13%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Chip | 2 times: Chip, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Chip, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 6 times: Chip, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Chip, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 5 times: Chip, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Chip, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: Chip, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Chip, Q3’26 Jul '26 | falling | 7/888% | 6/875% | 38/8445% | 12%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| iOS 27never said | 0 times: iOS 27, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: iOS 27, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: iOS 27, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: iOS 27, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: iOS 27, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: iOS 27, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: iOS 27, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: iOS 27, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/840% | 9%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| M5 | 0 times: M5, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: M5, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: M5, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: M5, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 8 times: M5, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 4 times: M5, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: M5, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: M5, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 4/850% | 4/845% | 13%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Satellite | 0 times: Satellite, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Satellite, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Satellite, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Satellite, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 1 time: Satellite, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Satellite, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Satellite, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Satellite, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 7/848% | 13%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| AirPod | 3 times: AirPod, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 3 times: AirPod, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 3 times: AirPod, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: AirPod, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 5 times: AirPod, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: AirPod, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: AirPod, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: AirPod, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 35/8442% | 89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence5+ times | 7 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 7 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 11 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 27 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 19 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 21 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 17 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 42 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 6/875% | 14/8417% | 91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Aluminum | 0 times: Aluminum, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Aluminum, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 0 times: Aluminum, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Aluminum, Q3’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Aluminum, Q4’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Aluminum, Q1’26 Jan '26 | 0 times: Aluminum, Q2’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Aluminum, Q3’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 11/8413% | 66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| App Store | 0 times: App Store, Q4’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: App Store, Q1’25 Jan '25 | 3 times: App Store, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: App Store, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: App Store, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 8 times: App Store, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: App Store, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 8 times: App Store, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 5/862% | 71/8485% | 88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Apple silicon | 2 times: Apple silicon, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 2 times: Apple silicon, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: Apple silicon, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Apple silicon, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Apple silicon, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Apple silicon, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 5 times: Apple silicon, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Apple silicon, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 18/8421% | 83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Apple50+ times | 80 times: Apple 50+ times, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 54 times: Apple 50+ times, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 48 times: Apple 50+ times, Q2’25 May '25, below the threshold | 44 times: Apple 50+ times, Q3’25 Jul '25, below the threshold | 52 times: Apple 50+ times, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 49 times: Apple 50+ times, Q1’26 Jan '26, below the threshold | 68 times: Apple 50+ times, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 58 times: Apple 50+ times, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 5/862% | 2/825% | 21/8425% | 63%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Battery | 1 time: Battery, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Battery, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Battery, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Battery, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Battery, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Battery, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: Battery, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Battery, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 33/8439% | 66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Battery life | 1 time: Battery life, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Battery life, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Battery life, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Battery life, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Battery life, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Battery life, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Battery life, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Battery life, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 25/8430% | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Batterynever said 5+ times | 1 time: Battery 5+, Q4’24 Oct '24, below the threshold | 1 time: Battery 5+, Q1’25 Jan '25, below the threshold | 2 times: Battery 5+, Q2’25 May '25, below the threshold | 2 times: Battery 5+, Q3’25 Jul '25, below the threshold | 1 time: Battery 5+, Q4’25 Oct '25, below the threshold | 1 time: Battery 5+, Q1’26 Jan '26, below the threshold | 2 times: Battery 5+, Q2’26 Apr '26, below the threshold | 1 time: Battery 5+, Q3’26 Jul '26, below the threshold | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/840% | 63%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Million / Billion / Trillion7+ times | 39 times: Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 36 times: Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 49 times: Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 48 times: Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 45 times: Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 41 times: Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 38 times: Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 37 times: Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 82/8498% | 63%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Camera5+ times | 4 times: Camera 5+, Q4’24 Oct '24, below the threshold | 4 times: Camera 5+, Q1’25 Jan '25, below the threshold | 3 times: Camera 5+, Q2’25 May '25, below the threshold | 3 times: Camera 5+, Q3’25 Jul '25, below the threshold | 2 times: Camera 5+, Q4’25 Oct '25, below the threshold | 3 times: Camera 5+, Q1’26 Jan '26, below the threshold | 4 times: Camera 5+, Q2’26 Apr '26, below the threshold | 2 times: Camera 5+, Q3’26 Jul '26, below the threshold | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/841% | 63%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Health / Fitness | 6 times: Health / Fitness, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 9 times: Health / Fitness, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 3 times: Health / Fitness, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Health / Fitness, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: Health / Fitness, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Health / Fitness, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 5 times: Health / Fitness, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Health / Fitness, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 49/8458% | 66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Health | 5 times: Health, Q4’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 6 times: Health, Q1’25 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Health, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Health, Q3’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: Health, Q4’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Health, Q1’26 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: Health, Q2’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Health, Q3’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 51/8461% | 87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 247 of 250 settled words resolved (98.8%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 41 | 24 yes · 17 no | 41/41 (100%) |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 17 | 8 yes · 9 no | 17/17 (100%) |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 16 | 9 yes · 7 no | 16/16 (100%) |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 26 | 16 yes · 10 no | 26/26 (100%) |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 32 | 26 yes · 6 no | 32/32 (100%) |
| May 1, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 22 | 14 yes · 8 no | 22/22 (100%) |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 1, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 2, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 1, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Apple (AAPL): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAPL (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/apple · words: /api/v1/history?entity=apple · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP