Will Apple say “Hardware”?

Apple said “Hardware” 2 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple said “Hardware” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 8, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

37%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Apple

Hardware

Probability
37% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Tim Cookcompanyprepared · 11:09Hear it 11:05, Tim Cook In transcript

…ground up. The result is that Apple has created the world's best hardware to experience AI, whether using Apple Intelligence, including Siri AI, or third-party…

Tim Cookcompanyprepared · 13:32Hear it 13:31, Tim Cook In transcript

…this week for customers in the U.S. Apple Upgrade is a new hardware leasing program launched in partnership with Klarna and makes it even easier…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Kevan Parekhcompanyprepared · 26:47Hear it 26:41, Kevan Parekh In transcript

…this, we launched Apple Business, a new all-in-one platform that combines our hardware, software and enterprise services, enabling companies to efficiently manage their deployments and…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Tim CookcompanypreparedIn transcript

…capable Siri. Apple Intelligence builds on years of innovations we've made across hardware and software to transform how users experience our products. Apple Intelligence also…

Krish SankaranalystqaIn transcript

…Or do you think with some of the more new AI-related devices, there's more upside to gross margin from here on the product hardware side?

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 9, 2026HardwareKalshiNo0
Jun 8, 2026HardwareKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Apple say “Hardware” on its last earnings call?
Apple said “Hardware” 2 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2 times.
How often does Apple say “Hardware”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple said “Hardware” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 8, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 8, 2026.
What is the probability Apple says “Hardware” next time?
37%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Apple: ‘Hardware’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAPL/words/hardware (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=apple&word=hardware · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=apple&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP