Apple's WWDC26 Keynote, Jun 8, 2026
At the keynote on Jun 8, 2026, Apple said 12 of the 49 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 48 of 48 checked settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
Updated
Markets
49 words · 12 settled yes · our count agreed on 48 of 48- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi - Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket - Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Intelligence | Yes | 24 | 52 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tool | Yes | 7 | 17 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Update / Updated | Yes | 4 | 17 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Developer | Yes | 3 | 16 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Personal | Yes | 3 | 20 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Powerful | Yes | 3 | 25 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Siri | Yes | 2 | 100 | ✓ | 34%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 1 | 30 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ecosystem | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Excited | Yes | 1 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hardware | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gemini | Yes | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 19%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Apple Intelligence 5+ times | No | 2 | 52 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 49%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Privacy | No | 0 | 11 | ✓ | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 20+ times | No | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Amazing | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple Pay | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple Silicon | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ChatGPT | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cheaper | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Customize / Customization | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Effortless | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fluid | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Generative | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Glow | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – | |
| M5 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Macbook 10+ times | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Microsoft | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Milestone | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Overhaul | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Privilege | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sleek | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vision Pro | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Anthropic / Claude | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Doorbell | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Extend / Extension | No | 0 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| iOS 27 | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nvidia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Open Source | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ternus | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Visual Intelligence | No | 0 | 8 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Streaming | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Apple TV | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fold / Foldable | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · Apple (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
7 matches for “Excited”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…experts can continue to verify this promise at any time. Now, we're excited to show you all the ways that Apple Intelligence elevates your Apple…
…customers, we'll be launching Siri AI in beta later this year. We're excited to hear your feedback. Siri AI will not be available initially in…
…work through regulatory requirements. Next, for developers, there's a lot to be excited about with new tools and technologies to help you build incredible apps.…
Thank you, Craig, and thanks to all of our presenters. We're excited to bring a wide range of improvements to each of our platforms, making…
Where the listed words were said
…and trusted platform for kids. And third, a big leap forward for Apple intelligence with an innovative architecture that unlocks a new Siri across platforms…
…year, we're taking a big step, expanding our child safety features with powerful and intuitive tools. To tell you about our approach, here's Sumbul. [music]
…talk about our next set of releases, where we have some exciting updates to share. This year, we put our focus into three areas. First,…
…by it. Our app [music] ecosystem has never been more vibrant, more developers, more apps, more innovation than ever before. Like with Agentic Coding, it's…
…them. And the next generation of Apple intelligence introduces new capabilities, including Siri AI, that delivers rich conversations and draws upon your personal context to…
…be personal, powerful, and easy to use. The tight integration of our hardware and our software unlocks the full potential of each of our products.…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/apple:2026-06-08:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=apple:2026-06-08:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP