Apple (AAPL): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026
On its Apr 30, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Apple said 8 of the 17 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.
UpdatedMarkets
17 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Clip | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 89%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 1:03, Tariff | – |
| China | Yes | 7 | 9 | ✓ | 95%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 6:05, China | – |
| Manufacturing | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 89%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 18:53, Manufacturing | – |
| Wearable | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 87%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 12:33, Wearable | – |
| Privacy | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 75%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 15:11, Privacy | – |
| Siri | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 82%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 14:31, Siri | – |
| Formula 1 / F1 | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 79%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 16:32, Formula 1 / F1 | – |
| Modem | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 46%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 12:28, Modem | – |
| Apple Pay | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 76%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Creator Studio | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| M3 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Liquid Glass | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Widget | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Streaming | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Glasses | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Fold / Folding / Foldable | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Gemini | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
1 match for “Modem”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…latest Apple silicon, along with the N1 wireless networking chip and C1X modem, users can stay seamlessly connected wherever they are. Across Wearables, Home and…
Where the listed words were said
…impact to the company's business and results of operations from macroeconomic conditions, tariffs and other measures and legal and regulatory proceedings. For more information, please…
…double digits in every geographic segment, including strong double-digit growth in Greater China and the rest of Asia Pacific. We also achieved March quarter revenue…
…March, we were thrilled to welcome 4 new companies to our American manufacturing program to help manufacture essential materials and components for Apple products sold…
…latest reports from 451 Research, customer satisfaction was 98% in the U.S. Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue was $7.9 billion, up 5% year-over-year, driven by…
…capabilities that are not only incredibly powerful, but also respectful of user privacy. Increasingly, that same foundation is drawing developers and researchers to our products…
…users every day. And we look forward to bringing a more personalized Siri to users coming this year. What truly sets Apple apart is how…
…This is a great time for sports fans on Apple TV too. Formula 1 season kicked off in March and Apple TV subscribers in the…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/apple:2026-04-30:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=apple:2026-04-30:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP