Will Apple say “M3”?
Apple did not say “M3” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple did not say “M3” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 12% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Apple
M3
- Probability
- 12% · n=5
- Settled
- 0/5 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…powerful Mac we've ever shipped, equipped with M4 Max and our new M3 Ultra chip. It's a true AI powerhouse capable of running large language…
…and go wherever their imaginations take them. The new iPad Air with M3 combines powerful performance and exceptional portability, whether you're taking it across the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did Apple say “M3” on its last earnings call?
- Apple did not say “M3” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Apple say “M3”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple did not say “M3” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025.
- What is the probability Apple says “M3” next time?
- 12%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Apple: ‘M3’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAPL/words/m3 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=apple&word=m3 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=apple&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP