Will Apple say “Fold / Folding / Foldable”?

Apple did not say “Fold / Folding / Foldable” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 8 calls. As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple said “Fold / Folding / Foldable” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

14%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4Next: Earnings call, Nov 2, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
78¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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API

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GET /api/v1/word?entity=apple&word=fold%20%2F%20foldable%20%2F%20folding

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Apple

Fold / Folding / Foldable

Probability
14% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)
Last calls
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 9, 2026Fold / Folding / FoldableKalshiYes3
Jul 30, 2026Fold / Folding / FoldableKalshiNo0
Apr 30, 2026Fold / Folding / FoldableKalshiNo0
Jan 29, 2026Fold / Folding / FoldableKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Apple say “Fold / Folding / Foldable” on its last earnings call?
Apple did not say “Fold / Folding / Foldable” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 8 calls.
How often does Apple say “Fold / Folding / Foldable”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple said “Fold / Folding / Foldable” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
What is the probability Apple says “Fold / Folding / Foldable” next time?
14%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Apple: ‘Fold / Folding / Foldable’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAPL/words/fold-or-foldable-or-folding (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=apple&word=fold%20%2F%20foldable%20%2F%20folding · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=apple&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP