Will Apple say “Modem”?

Apple did not say “Modem” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple said “Modem” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025 (40%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

35%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Apple

Modem

Probability
35% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Timothy Cookcompanyprepared · 12:30Hear it 12:24, Timothy Cook In transcript

…latest Apple silicon, along with the N1 wireless networking chip and C1X modem, users can stay seamlessly connected wherever they are. Across Wearables, Home and…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Kevan ParekhcompanyqaIn transcript

…know, investing in core technologies like our own silicon and our own modem. And certainly, while those do provide opportunities for cost savings and can…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Tim CookcompanypreparedIn transcript

…by our latest generation A18 chip and includes the all-new Apple-designed C1 modem, the most energy-efficient modem ever in an iPhone, allowing iPhone 16e to…

Aaron RakersanalystqaIn transcript

…I'm curious with the iPhone 16e launching this quarter, internalizing your C1 modem, I'm curious of how you see kind of the modem strategy playing…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 30, 2026ModemKalshiNo0
Apr 30, 2026ModemKalshiYes1
Jan 29, 2026ModemKalshiYes1
Oct 30, 2025ModemPolymarketNo0
Oct 30, 2025ModemKalshiNo0
Jul 31, 2025ModemKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Apple say “Modem” on its last earnings call?
Apple did not say “Modem” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0 times.
How often does Apple say “Modem”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple said “Modem” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025 (40%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026.
What is the probability Apple says “Modem” next time?
35%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Apple: ‘Modem’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAPL/words/modem (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=apple&word=modem · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=apple&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP