Will Apple say “Widget”?

Apple did not say “Widget” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple did not say “Widget” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

13%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4Next: Earnings call, Nov 2, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
10¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Apple

Widget

Probability
13% · n=4
Settled
0/4 (0%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Timothy D. CookcompanypreparedIn transcript

…about what's coming to Apple Vision Pro with visionOS 26 introducing spatial widgets that let users customize their digital space, more life-like personas and new…

Timothy D. CookcompanyqaIn transcript

…team on visionOS 26. It includes many things in it like spatial widgets to enable users to customize their digital space. The personas took a…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · not said

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 30, 2026WidgetPolymarketNo0
Jul 30, 2026WidgetKalshiNo0
Apr 30, 2026WidgetKalshiNo0
Jan 29, 2026WidgetKalshiNo0
Oct 30, 2025WidgetPolymarketNo0
Oct 30, 2025WidgetKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Apple say “Widget” on its last earnings call?
Apple did not say “Widget” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Apple say “Widget”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple did not say “Widget” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 30, 2025.
What is the probability Apple says “Widget” next time?
13%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Apple: ‘Widget’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAPL/words/widget (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=apple&word=widget · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=apple&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP