Will Apple say “Manufacturing”?
Apple said “Manufacturing” 4 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 6, 3, 6, 5, 4, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple said “Manufacturing” at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 90% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 87¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Apple
Manufacturing
- Probability
- 90% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
The new multi-year agreement with Broadcom, which is part of Apple's American Manufacturing Program, is expected to exceed $30 billion. This marks our largest-ever American…
…take their work to the next level and strengthen the entire advanced manufacturing ecosystem. We have an exciting fall ahead and an incredible future beyond.
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…March, we were thrilled to welcome 4 new companies to our American manufacturing program to help manufacture essential materials and components for Apple products sold…
…workforce. We're looking forward to opening the doors to an all-new advanced manufacturing center in Houston later this year, which will provide hands-on training led…
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…to invest $600 billion over four years in vital industries like advanced manufacturing, silicon engineering, and artificial intelligence. As we're building on our long-standing investments…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Manufacturing |  Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Manufacturing | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Manufacturing | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Manufacturing |  Polymarket | Yes | 7 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Manufacturing | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Manufacturing | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Manufacturing | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How many times did Apple say “Manufacturing” on its last earnings call?
- Apple said “Manufacturing” 4 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 6, 3, 6, 5, 4, 4 times.
- How often does Apple say “Manufacturing”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple said “Manufacturing” at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Apple says “Manufacturing” next time?
- 90%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Apple: ‘Manufacturing’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAPL/words/manufacturing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=apple&word=manufacturing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=apple&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP