What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Tenant” next time?

47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Tenant”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Tenant” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Tenant” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 25, 2026.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. No keynotes among them yet.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only
Market: 35¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 18:21 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Tenant

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

…Lisa Bova-Hiatt, who's here with us. We have the executive director of the Mayor's Office to Protect Tenants, Cea Weaver, who is here with us.