Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Mar 12, 2026
Kalshi listed 13 words for Zohran Mamdani’s remarks on Mar 12, 2026; 5 settled Yes. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Islam / Islamic | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 47%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 41%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | 34%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim | Yes | 15%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | No | 63%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 56%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Allah | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Antisemitism / Antisemitic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ISIS | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mahmoud / Khalil | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Islamophobia | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…a protest outside of Gracie Mansion, in their words, to protest the “Islamic takeover of New York City,” the fact that they brought a goat…
…being here. It is an honor to be here alongside [Bronx] Borough President Vanessa Gibson, Council Member Justin Sanchez, our Corporation Counsel, Steve Banks; our…
…I am so appreciative of the hardworking men and women of the NYPD, who not only ensured that they were able to keep New Yorkers…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-03-12:remarks-07a6d2 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-03-12:remarks-07a6d2 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP