Face the Nation (CBS), March 8, 2026
On the Mar 8, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 6 of the 11 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
Updated
Markets
11 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 7 | 75 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Russia | Yes | 4 | 15 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 3 | 21 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela | Yes | 2 | 7 | ✓ | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Escort / Escorted / Escorting | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epic Fury | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
21 matches for “Trump”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…through the weekend, targeting Iranian airports, oil depots, bases and more. President Trump promises an escalation of hostilities until Tehran offers a complete and unconditional…
…targeted in the region that could potentially impact millions of people. President Trump called the conflict a minor excursion and has not yet indicated the…
…continues, oil prices could surge to $150 a barrel. Now, overnight, President Trump spoke to the emir of Qatar, who emphasized to the president the…
…could see $150 barrel in oil, that's something America could stomach? President Trump wouldn't say, I'm done with this war because I can't stand the…
President Trump's bold leadership is, enough's enough. We're going to put it to an end.
Where the listed words were said
Well, I tell them that, for 47 years, Iran has warged – waged war against the United States. And they've – throughout that 47 years,…
…million barrels of floating Russian crude waiting in line to deliver to China. That's going to be sold. It's going to be refined. But that…
…Americans and to the Middle East and to global oil supplies. President Trump is using bold leadership. We can't change the world at a blink…
…hasn't worked. And now they're – they're expanding missile and drone program that are rapidly growing to protect their desire to build a nuclear weapon.
…neighbors, threaten American soldiers and threaten ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, but that's going swimmingly well. Their missile launches are down 90 percent.…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/face-the-nation:2026-03-08:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=face-the-nation:2026-03-08:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP