Will “China / Russia” be said on Face the Nation next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “China / Russia” was said on Face the Nation in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.

48%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=china%20%2F%20russia

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Face the Nation

China / Russia

Probability
48% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 2 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

3 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Chris WrightguestIn transcript

…go down. Similar stories with diesel. Diesel's mostly been impacted by the Russia- Ukraine war and also by China's decision not to export diesel or…

Chris WrightguestIn transcript

Of course we're trying to have great relations with China and move that ball forward. I think things are going reasonably well there. But then…

Every match in the transcript

What will John Kennedy say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Richard Blumenthal say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Lindsey Graham say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 4, 2026China / RussiaKalshiYes3
May 10, 2026China / RussiaKalshiNo0
Mar 9, 2026China / RussiaKalshiYes4

Questions

How often is “China / Russia” said on Face the Nation?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “China / Russia” was said on Face the Nation in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026.
What is the probability “China / Russia” is said on Face the Nation next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘China / Russia’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/china-or-russia (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=china%20%2F%20russia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP