Will “Tariff” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tariff” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 9, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Tariff
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Here in Michigan, we know that Canada is not our enemy. We need to end this tariff war now.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…decision by October the 18th as to whether he's going to put tariffs on the biggest buyers. That would be China, and that would be…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…at all of the RNC? The gas prices, grocery prices, these ridiculous tariffs and this war with Canada that's raising our prices an average $5,600…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…bad, or truly horrible." What he was zeroing in on are the tariffs and the fuel and fertilizer costs that are hitting rural voters. I…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…on the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said it's a Trojan horse for tariff authorities he has repeatedly abused. He's concerned about giving President Trump more…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Tariff |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Tariff” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tariff” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Tariff” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP