Face the Nation (CBS), February 22, 2026
On the Feb 22, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 6 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear | Yes | 6 | 14 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | Yes | 6 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| War | Yes | 6 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | Yes | 5 | 8 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 4 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Diplomacy | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 14 | ✓ | 62%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Netanyahu | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ramadan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Leader | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Threat / Threatening | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Uranium | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
14 matches for “Trump”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
… through line through the first Trump administration, Biden and Trump with tariffs. But it's foreign countries and companies that are suing that want these…
…as the world's largest warship also heads towards the region. But President Trump has said he'd prefer a diplomatic deal with Iran. For the latest,…
So, do you believe President Trump plans to strike Iran, or is he using this threat as leverage?
How would this deal with Trump be different than that one?
…world, including in the United States Congress. There is pressure on President Trump from within his own party. There were 52 Republican senators, 177 House…
Where the listed words were said
…pressures. So I believe that a better deal than JCPOA, or 2015 nuclear deal, is possible. And there are elements that are – could be…
…things, and we can make sure that Iran's program, nuclear program, is peaceful and will remain peaceful forever, and at the same – same time…
…have lost our scientists, and we have – we have had a war because of that. So that is now a matter of dignity and…
But these are two separate things. Of course, we continue our negotiation. At the same time, we are working on a – on – on…
…you talked about the air defense and the war we had with Israel. You know, yes, we had problem with our air defense, but Israelis…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/face-the-nation:2026-02-22:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=face-the-nation:2026-02-22:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP