Abbas Araghchi
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kalshi has settled 14 word markets on Abbas Araghchi’s appearances since 2026, on 14 different words.
History Wall
1–14 of 14, most settled first| Word | Feb 23latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diplomacy | 1 time: Diplomacy, Feb 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Israel / Israeli | 4 times: Israel / Israeli, Feb 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | 5 times: Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation, Feb 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Nuclear | 6 times: Nuclear, Feb 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | 6 times: Peace / Peaceful, Feb 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| War | 6 times: War, Feb 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Netanyahu | 0 times: Netanyahu, Feb 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Protest / Protester | 0 times: Protest / Protester, Feb 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Ramadan | 0 times: Ramadan, Feb 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Supreme Leader | 0 times: Supreme Leader, Feb 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 0 times: Terrorist / Terrorism, Feb 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Threat / Threatening | 0 times: Threat / Threatening, Feb 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Trump | 0 times: Trump, Feb 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Uranium | 0 times: Uranium, Feb 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will the Iranian foreign minister say on Face the Nation? | Official transcript | 14 | 6 yes · 8 no | 14/14 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Abbas Araghchi: mention market word history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/abbas-araghchi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/abbas-araghchi · words: /api/v1/history?entity=abbas-araghchi · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP