Will “Threat / Threatening” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Threat / Threatening” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 23, 2026.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Threat / Threatening
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…that he hasn't denounced the IRGC and thinks that Israel's a bigger threat than Iran. El-Sayed has, in various ways, addressed this by saying, first…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…in Michigan, against Mike Rogers. He was asked, who's more of a threat to the United States, Iran or Israel? He could not answer and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…militarily. But we cannot pass to the next administration an Iran armed with nuclear weapons. Not only is that a threat to peace and stability.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the midterm races. I know you received a classified briefing on foreign threats. And you released a statement saying that the U.S. intelligence community assessed…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…we need to continue winning elections, because we have this very big threat called the socialists on the Democratic side. And if you want me,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | Threat / Threatening |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Threat / Threatening” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Threat / Threatening” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 23, 2026.
- What is the probability “Threat / Threatening” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Threat / Threatening’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/threat-or-threatening (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=threat%20%2F%20threatening · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP