Will “Protest / Protester” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Protest / Protester” was said on Face the Nation in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jan 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceFace the Nation
Protest / Protester
- Probability
- 41% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…says Iran's guilty of crimes against humanity for violent crackdowns on your own people, on your own protests. Do you accept all of those findings?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…not being allowed to continue because they may have engaged in some protest or had an errant social media tweet. We had heard cases of…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Protest / Protester | No | 0 | |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Protest / Protester | No | 0 | |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Protest / Protester | No | 0 | |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Protest / Protester | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Protest / Protester” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Protest / Protester” was said on Face the Nation in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jan 19, 2026.
- What is the probability “Protest / Protester” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Protest / Protester’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/protest-or-protester (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=protest%20%2F%20protester · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP