Will “Israel / Israeli” be said on Face the Nation next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was said on Face the Nation in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

43%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Face the Nation

Israel / Israeli

Probability
43% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will John Kennedy say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Richard Blumenthal say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Lindsey Graham say during Face the Nation? · said 9 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

9 counted; 7 by speakers the rule does not count.

Lindsey GrahamguestIn transcript

…to get Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords to end the Arab-Israeli conflict in 2026. And if Iran continues to attack Israel and Lebanon,…

Lindsey GrahamguestIn transcript

…problem. The Arab world is very upset about Gaza, and everybody in Israel is very upset about October 7. But we're going to pick up…

Every match in the transcript

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jun 21, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes9
Mar 2, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes2
Feb 23, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes4

Questions

How often is “Israel / Israeli” said on Face the Nation?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was said on Face the Nation in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 21, 2026.
What is the probability “Israel / Israeli” is said on Face the Nation next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Israel / Israeli’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/israel-or-israeli (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP