Will “Diplomacy” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Diplomacy” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 23, 2026.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Feb 22, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Diplomacy
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…by Iranian officials during meetings in New York. But will he keep diplomacy alive or resume strikes? The Pentagon's public casualty count rose again last…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | Diplomacy |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Diplomacy” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Diplomacy” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 23, 2026.
- What is the probability “Diplomacy” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Diplomacy’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/diplomacy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=diplomacy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP