Face the Nation (CBS), February 22, 2026

On the Feb 22, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 6 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

14 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Nuclear Yes614✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Peace / Peaceful Yes67✓–new new word, no probability yet–
War Yes67✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation Yes58✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Israel / Israeli Yes46✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Diplomacy Yes12✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No014✓62%n=9 from settlement history–
Protest / Protester No01✓43%n=2 from settlement history–
Netanyahu No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Ramadan No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Supreme Leader No01✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Terrorist / Terrorism No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Threat / Threatening No02✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Uranium No01✓–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Official transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.

14 matches for “Nuclear”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

MARGARET BRENNANhost

…buildup in the region, putting pressure on Tehran to agree on a nuclear deal. We will get the latest from Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.…

Abbas Araghchiguest

…there, that, if they want to find a resolution for Iran's peaceful nuclear program, the only way is diplomacy. And we have proved this in…

MARGARET BRENNANhost

Well, let me ask you this. You helped negotiate that 2015 nuclear deal under the Obama administration.

Abbas Araghchiguest

…pressures. So I believe that a better deal than JCPOA, or 2015 nuclear deal, is possible. And there are elements that are – could be…

Abbas Araghchiguest

…agree on basic things, and we can make sure that Iran's program, nuclear program, is peaceful and will remain peaceful forever, and at the same…

Where the listed words were said

Abbas Araghchiguest“Nuclear”

Well, right now, we are negotiating only nuclear, and there is no other subject.

Abbas Araghchiguest“Peace / Peaceful”

…a member of NPT, and we have every right to enjoy a peaceful nuclear energy, including enrichment. How we use this – this right is…

Abbas Araghchiguest“War”

…have lost our scientists, and we have – we have had a war because of that. So that is now a matter of dignity and…

Abbas Araghchiguest“Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation”

But these are two separate things. Of course, we continue our negotiation. At the same time, we are working on a – on – on…

Abbas Araghchiguest“Israel / Israeli”

…you talked about the air defense and the war we had with Israel. You know, yes, we had problem with our air defense, but Israelis…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/face-the-nation:2026-02-22:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=face-the-nation:2026-02-22:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP