Face the Nation (CBS), February 22, 2026
On the Feb 22, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 6 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear | Yes | 6 | 14 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | Yes | 6 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| War | Yes | 6 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | Yes | 5 | 8 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 4 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Diplomacy | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 14 | ✓ | 62%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Netanyahu | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ramadan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Leader | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Threat / Threatening | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Uranium | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…there, that, if they want to find a resolution for Iran's peaceful nuclear program, the only way is diplomacy. And we have proved this in…
…things, and we can make sure that Iran's program, nuclear program, is peaceful and will remain peaceful forever, and at the same – same time…
…have lost our scientists, and we have – we have had a war because of that. So that is now a matter of dignity and…
But these are two separate things. Of course, we continue our negotiation. At the same time, we are working on a – on – on…
…you talked about the air defense and the war we had with Israel. You know, yes, we had problem with our air defense, but Israelis…
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