Apple (AAPL): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026
On its Jan 29, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Apple said 9 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | 13 | 16 | ✓ | 93%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Manufacturing | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 86%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Formula 1 / F1 | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 70%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Wearable | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 86%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 3 | 6 | ✓ | 85%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Siri | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 79%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Apple Pay | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Modem | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 23%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Creator Studio | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 17%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Severance | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Liquid Glass | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| M3 | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 35%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Widget | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 25%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Streaming | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 25%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Fold / Folding / Foldable | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Gemini | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 17%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
6 matches for “Apple Watch”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…the world. Across wearables, home, and accessories, revenue was $11.5 billion. With Apple Watch Ultra 3 and Apple Watch Series 11, users are tapping into…
…scores each morning and find ways to improve their sleep quality. And Apple Watch alerts are enabling important conversations between users and their doctors regarding…
…Brazil, Indonesia, and South Korea. It means 3D printing titanium cases for Apple Watch using so that they're better for the planet without compromising quality.…
…Corning in Kentucky to make 100% of cover glass for iPhone and Apple Watch. We're working with Micron, which broke ground on a new advanced…
…reached a new all-time high, with over half of customers purchasing an Apple Watch during the quarter being new to the product. And in The…
Where the listed words were said
…markets, which includes India, where we saw strong double-digit revenue growth. Greater China also grew 38% year over year, driven by iPhone, which had record…
…Academy in Detroit, we're already training American innovators on the latest smart manufacturing and artificial intelligence techniques. Six months since opening, the academy is already…
…3,200 nominations, including a recently announced Oscar nomination for Best Picture for F1, the movie. And speaking of F1, we're also approaching the start of…
…latest reports from 451 Research, customer satisfaction was 98% in The US. Wearables, home, and accessories revenue was $11.5 billion, down 2% year over year.…
…impact to the company's business and results of operations from macroeconomic conditions, tariffs, and other measures, and legal and regulatory proceedings. For more information, please…
…This will help power future Apple intelligence features, including a more personalized Siri coming this year. We're incredibly excited for what's to come with so…
…Music climbed to all-time highs in both listenership and new subscriber growth. Apple Pay eliminated more than $1 billion in fraud for our partners last…
…know, investing in core technologies like our own silicon and our own modem. And certainly, while those do provide opportunities for cost savings and can…
…has something special to offer users. And with the recently released Apple Creator Studio, available across Mac, iPad, and iPhone, creators have more tools at…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/apple:2026-01-29:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=apple:2026-01-29:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP