Apple (AAPL): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026

Thu, Jan 29Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptApple

On its Jan 29, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Apple said 9 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

16 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
China Yes1316✓93%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Manufacturing Yes55✓86%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Formula 1 / F1 Yes44✓70%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Wearable Yes33✓86%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff Yes36✓85%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Siri Yes24✓79%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Apple Pay Yes11✓70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Modem Yes11✓23%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Creator Studio Yes11✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–
Severance No00✓66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Liquid Glass No00✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
M3 No01✓35%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Widget No00✓25%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Streaming No00✓25%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Fold / Folding / Foldable No00✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–
Gemini No02✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

49 matches for “Apple”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Suhasini Chandramoulicompanyprepared

Good afternoon and welcome to the Apple Q1 fiscal year 2026 earnings conference call. My name is Suhasini Chandramouli, Director of Investor Relations. Today's call…

Suhasini Chandramoulicompanyprepared

…proceedings. For more information, please refer to the risk factors discussed in Apple's most recently filed reports on Form 10-Q and Form 10-K and the…

Suhasini Chandramoulicompanyprepared

…tomorrow and in other reports and filings we make with the SEC. Apple assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, which speak only as…

Timothy D. Cookcompanyprepared

…driven by iPhone, which had record upgraders and double-digit growth on switchers. Apple's December results underscore our relentless commitment to innovation, to our customers, and…

Timothy D. Cookcompanyprepared

…lineup has something special to offer users. And with the recently released Apple Creator Studio, available across Mac, iPad, and iPhone, creators have more tools…

Where the listed words were said

Kevan Parekhcompany“China” · prepared

…the markets we track, including The US, Latin America, Western Europe, Greater China, India, and South Asia. Products revenue was $113.7 billion, up 16% year…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Manufacturing” · prepared

…to invest $600 billion over four years in vital industries like advanced manufacturing, silicon engineering, and artificial intelligence. As we're building on our long-standing investments…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Formula 1 / F1” · prepared

…3,200 nominations, including a recently announced Oscar nomination for Best Picture for F1, the movie. And speaking of F1, we're also approaching the start of…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Wearable” · prepared

…iPad continued to be the most popular tablet in the world. Across wearables, home, and accessories, revenue was $11.5 billion. With Apple Watch Ultra 3…

Kevan Parekhcompany“Tariff” · prepared

…that Suhasini referred to. Importantly, the color we're providing assumes that global tariff rates, policies, and their application remain in effect as of this call,…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Siri” · prepared

…This will help power future Apple intelligence features, including a more personalized Siri coming this year. We're incredibly excited for what's to come with so…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Apple Pay” · prepared

…Music climbed to all-time highs in both listenership and new subscriber growth. Apple Pay eliminated more than $1 billion in fraud for our partners last…

Kevan Parekhcompany“Modem” · qa

…know, investing in core technologies like our own silicon and our own modem. And certainly, while those do provide opportunities for cost savings and can…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/apple:2026-01-29:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=apple:2026-01-29:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP