Microsoft (MSFT): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025

Wed, Apr 30Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptMicrosoft

On its Apr 30, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Microsoft said 13 of the 20 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 20 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

20 words · 13 settled yes · our count agreed on 20 of 20

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Copilot Yes2424✓96%transcripts from the transcript model–
Azure Yes1522✓96%transcripts from the transcript model–
M365 Yes1313✓89%transcripts from the transcript model–
LinkedIn Yes99✓90%transcripts from the transcript model–
Teams Yes88✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
Xbox / X-BOX Yes55✓86%transcripts from the transcript model–
OpenAI Yes44✓90%transcripts from the transcript model–
Hardware Yes44✓79%transcripts from the transcript model–
GitHub Yes33✓92%transcripts from the transcript model–
Intelligent cloud Yes33✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Quantum Yes33✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–
Game Pass Yes11✓84%transcripts from the transcript model–
ChatGPT Yes12✓64%transcripts from the transcript model–
Activision-Blizzard / Activision Blizzard No00✓41%transcripts from the transcript model–
Surface No00✓36%transcripts from the transcript model–
Enterprise AI No01✓32%transcripts from the transcript model–
Cybersecurity No00✓28%transcripts from the transcript model–
Sustainability No01✓22%transcripts from the transcript model–
Data sovereignty No00✓19%transcripts from the transcript model–
Cloud consumption No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “more with Less”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Satya Nadellacompanyqa

…or any type of growth pressure where you need to do more with less, I think we can be super helpful in that. And so,…

Where the listed words were said

Satya Nadellacompany“Copilot” · prepared

…to the Foundry. Now, on to developer tools. We are evolving GitHub Copilot from pair to peer programmer. With agent mode in VS Code, Copilot…

Satya Nadellacompany“Azure” · prepared

…Abercrombie & Fitch Co., to Coca-Cola and ServiceNow, expanding their footprints on Azure. And we remain the cloud of choice for customers’ mission critical VMWare,…

Amy Hoodcompany“M365” · prepared

…expectations driven by LinkedIn, Microsoft 365 commercial products, and Microsoft 365 consumer. M365 commercial cloud revenue increased 12% and 15% in constant currency, in line…

Satya Nadellacompany“LinkedIn” · prepared

…million monthly active users. Now, on to our consumer businesses, starting with LinkedIn. Over one billion professionals use LinkedIn to connect, learn, hire, and sell…

Amy Hoodcompany“Teams” · prepared

…Results exceeded expectations driven by focused execution from our sales and partner teams. We continue to see strong demand for our cloud and AI offerings…

Satya Nadellacompany“Xbox / X-BOX” · prepared

…the quarter as the top publisher by pre-orders and pre-installs on both Xbox and the PlayStation Store. PC Game Pass revenue increased over 45% year-over-year.…

Satya Nadellacompany“OpenAI” · prepared

…used by customers in every industry like CarMax, DocuSign, NTT Data, and OpenAI. This quarter, we also saw analytics consumption accelerate. Microsoft Fabric has more…

Satya Nadellacompany“Hardware” · prepared

…optimize and drive efficiencies across every layer – from DC design, to hardware and silicon, to systems software, to model optimization – all towards lowering…

Satya Nadellacompany“GitHub” · prepared

…of asynchronously executing developer tasks. All-up, we now have over 15 million GitHub Copilot users, up over 4X year-over-year. And both digital natives like Twilio…

Amy Hoodcompany“Intelligent cloud” · prepared

…and operating income increased 15% and 18% in constant currency. Next, the Intelligent Cloud segment. Revenue was $26.8 billion and grew 21% and 22% in…

Satya Nadellacompany“Quantum” · prepared

…are also making real progress on a path to a utility scale quantum computer with the introduction of Majorana-1. When it comes to data and…

Satya Nadellacompany“ChatGPT” · qa

…think we’ve mentioned this multiple times before. If you look underneath even ChatGPT, in fact, that team does a fantastic job of thinking about not…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/microsoft:2025-04-30:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=microsoft:2025-04-30:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP