Will Microsoft say “Quantum”?

Microsoft did not say “Quantum” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Quantum” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

28%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

Quantum

Probability
28% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…in business history. The next big accelerator in the cloud will be Quantum, and I'm excited about our progress. In fact, earlier this month, we…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…We are also excited about the next frontier in cloud systems with quantum. In addition to putting our quantum stack on machines from our partners,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 30, 2025QuantumKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “Quantum” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft did not say “Quantum” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Microsoft say “Quantum”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Quantum” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2025.
What is the probability Microsoft says “Quantum” next time?
28%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Quantum’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/quantum (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=quantum · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP