Will Microsoft say “Surface”?
Microsoft did not say “Surface” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, Microsoft did not say “Surface” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Microsoft
Surface
- Probability
- 28% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…recommendations. And OpenEvidence used Foundry to create its AI-powered clinical assistant which surfaces relevant medical information to physicians and help streamline charting. When it comes…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…Center. When it comes to consumer apps, we are innovating across all surfaces. In fact, on Monday, we introduced Copilot Mode in Edge. It's especially…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2025 | Surface |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Microsoft say “Surface” on its last earnings call?
- Microsoft did not say “Surface” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Microsoft say “Surface”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Microsoft did not say “Surface” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Microsoft says “Surface” next time?
- 28%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers.
Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Surface’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/surface (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=surface · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP