Thu, Nov 5, 2026

Mention markets on this date, across every hub.

6 eventsData updated · Source: Kalshi, Polymarket, transcripts

Listed words

K = Kalshi, P = Polymarket: mid prices, up to about 20 minutes old. Not advice.

Thu, Nov 5

6 events

AAP · Advance Auto Parts

AAPAdvance Auto Parts
8:00 am ET
AAP: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
WordFY24 Q3FY24 Q4FY25 Q1FY25 Q2FY25 Q3FY25 Q4FY26 Q1FY26 Q2Chance
next call: probability
HeadwindK 46¢Headwind: 6 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Headwind: 10 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Headwind: 4 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Headwind: 2 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Headwind: 4 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Headwind: 8 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Headwind: 6 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Headwind: 13 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)92% from transcript model
TariffK 70¢Tariff: 0 times, FY24 Q3Tariff: 2 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Tariff: 26 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Tariff: 19 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Tariff: 5 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Tariff: 6 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Tariff: 1 time, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Tariff: 8 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)89% from settlement history blended with transcripts
ARGOSK 72¢ARGOS: 0 times, FY24 Q3ARGOS: 0 times, FY24 Q4ARGOS: 0 times, FY25 Q1ARGOS: 0 times, FY25 Q2ARGOS: 0 times, FY25 Q3ARGOS: 4 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)ARGOS: 6 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)ARGOS: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)78% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Advance RewardK 44¢Advance Reward: 0 times, FY24 Q3Advance Reward: 0 times, FY24 Q4Advance Reward: 0 times, FY25 Q1Advance Reward: 0 times, FY25 Q2Advance Reward: 0 times, FY25 Q3Advance Reward: 4 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Advance Reward: 5 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Advance Reward: 2 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)76% from settlement history blended with transcripts
TailwindK 46¢Tailwind: 0 times, FY24 Q3Tailwind: 0 times, FY24 Q4Tailwind: 1 time, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Tailwind: 0 times, FY25 Q2Tailwind: 0 times, FY25 Q3Tailwind: 0 times, FY25 Q4Tailwind: 3 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Tailwind: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)60% from transcript model
Good PartK 46¢Good Part: 0 times, FY24 Q3Good Part: 0 times, FY24 Q4Good Part: 0 times, FY25 Q1Good Part: 0 times, FY25 Q2Good Part: 0 times, FY25 Q3Good Part: 0 times, FY25 Q4Good Part: 1 time, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Good Part: 2 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)55% from settlement history blended with transcripts

WEN · Wendy's

WENWendy's
8:30 am ET
WEN: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
WordFY24 Q3FY24 Q4FY25 Q1FY25 Q2FY25 Q3FY25 Q4FY26 Q1FY26 Q2Chance
next call: probability
Project FreshK 48¢Project Fresh: 0 times, FY24 Q3Project Fresh: 0 times, FY24 Q4Project Fresh: 0 times, FY25 Q1Project Fresh: 0 times, FY25 Q2Project Fresh: 14 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Project Fresh: 18 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Project Fresh: 18 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Project Fresh: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)93% from settlement history blended with transcripts
InflationK 80¢Inflation: 3 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Inflation: 2 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Inflation: 2 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Inflation: 3 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Inflation: 5 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Inflation: 4 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Inflation: 11 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Inflation: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)93% from settlement history blended with transcripts
ClosureK 48¢Closure: 7 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Closure: 1 time, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Closure: 1 time, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Closure: 0 times, FY25 Q2Closure: 4 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Closure: 4 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Closure: 0 times, FY26 Q1Closure: 8 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)86% from settlement history blended with transcripts
AppK 50¢App: 1 time, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)App: 3 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)App: 5 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)App: 1 time, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)App: 2 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)App: 2 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)App: 3 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)App: 1 time, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)86% from settlement history blended with transcripts
MinionsK 30¢Minions: 0 times, FY24 Q3Minions: 0 times, FY24 Q4Minions: 0 times, FY25 Q1Minions: 0 times, FY25 Q2Minions: 0 times, FY25 Q3Minions: 0 times, FY25 Q4Minions: 6 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Minions: 2 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)69% from settlement history blended with transcripts
LoyaltyK 48¢Loyalty: 1 time, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Loyalty: 4 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Loyalty: 1 time, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Loyalty: 2 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Loyalty: 0 times, FY25 Q3Loyalty: 1 time, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Loyalty: 0 times, FY26 Q1Loyalty: 1 time, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)64% from settlement history blended with transcripts

ABNB · Airbnb

ABNBAirbnb
5:00 pm ET
ABNB: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
WordFY24 Q3FY24 Q4FY25 Q1FY25 Q2FY25 Q3FY25 Q4FY26 Q1FY26 Q2Chance
next call: probability
BoutiqueK 46¢Boutique: 1 time, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Boutique: 0 times, FY24 Q4Boutique: 0 times, FY25 Q1Boutique: 1 time, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Boutique: 4 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Boutique: 6 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Boutique: 3 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Boutique: 1 time, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)86% from settlement history blended with transcripts
InternationalK 46¢International: 0 times, FY24 Q3International: 0 times, FY24 Q4International: 4 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)International: 0 times, FY25 Q2International: 1 time, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)International: 2 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)International: 1 time, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)International: 2 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)76% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Take RateK 46¢Take Rate: 0 times, FY24 Q3Take Rate: 4 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Take Rate: 2 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Take Rate: 1 time, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Take Rate: 0 times, FY25 Q3Take Rate: 2 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Take Rate: 5 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Take Rate: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)75% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Project HawaiiK 46¢Project Hawaii: 0 times, FY24 Q3Project Hawaii: 0 times, FY24 Q4Project Hawaii: 0 times, FY25 Q1Project Hawaii: 0 times, FY25 Q2Project Hawaii: 0 times, FY25 Q3Project Hawaii: 2 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Project Hawaii: 2 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Project Hawaii: 1 time, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)63% from settlement history blended with transcripts
AcquiredK 46¢Acquired: 0 times, FY24 Q3Acquired: 0 times, FY24 Q4Acquired: 1 time, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Acquired: 7 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Acquired: 0 times, FY25 Q3Acquired: 0 times, FY25 Q4Acquired: 1 time, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Acquired: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)55% from transcript model
Third PartyK 46¢Third Party: 2 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Third Party: 2 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Third Party: 0 times, FY25 Q1Third Party: 2 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Third Party: 1 time, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Third Party: 0 times, FY25 Q4Third Party: 4 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Third Party: 0 times, FY26 Q245% from settlement history blended with transcripts

AAOI · Applied Optoelectronics

AAOIApplied Optoelectronics
AAOI: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
WordFY24 Q3FY24 Q4FY25 Q1FY25 Q2FY25 Q3FY25 Q4FY26 Q1FY26 Q2Chance
next call: probability
QualificationK 79¢Qualification: 1 time, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Qualification: 2 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Qualification: 16 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Qualification: 13 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Qualification: 10 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Qualification: 8 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Qualification: 13 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Qualification: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)94% from settlement history blended with transcripts
TariffK 67¢Tariff: 0 times, FY24 Q3Tariff: 0 times, FY24 Q4Tariff: 11 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Tariff: 7 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Tariff: 5 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Tariff: 15 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Tariff: 3 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Tariff: 4 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)90% from settlement history blended with transcripts
CPOK 46¢CPO: 0 times, FY24 Q3CPO: 0 times, FY24 Q4CPO: 1 time, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)CPO: 0 times, FY25 Q2CPO: 0 times, FY25 Q3CPO: 1 time, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)CPO: 5 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)CPO: 15 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)85% from settlement history blended with transcripts
ChinaK 77¢China: 0 times, FY24 Q3China: 1 time, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)China: 6 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)China: 3 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)China: 4 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)China: 1 time, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)China: 2 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)China: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)83% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Indium PhosphideK 46¢Indium Phosphide: 0 times, FY24 Q3Indium Phosphide: 0 times, FY24 Q4Indium Phosphide: 0 times, FY25 Q1Indium Phosphide: 0 times, FY25 Q2Indium Phosphide: 0 times, FY25 Q3Indium Phosphide: 2 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Indium Phosphide: 5 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Indium Phosphide: 2 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)74% from settlement history blended with transcripts
QuantumK 46¢Quantum: 0 times, FY24 Q3Quantum: 6 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Quantum: 1 time, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Quantum: 0 times, FY25 Q2Quantum: 1 time, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Quantum: 1 time, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Quantum: 0 times, FY26 Q1Quantum: 1 time, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)64% from settlement history blended with transcripts

CELH · Celsius

CELHCelsius
CELH: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
WordFY24 Q3FY24 Q4FY25 Q1FY25 Q2FY25 Q3FY25 Q4FY26 Q1FY26 Q2Chance
next call: probability
PepsiCoK 46¢PepsiCo: 2 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)PepsiCo: 0 times, FY24 Q4PepsiCo: 2 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)PepsiCo: 1 time, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)PepsiCo: 16 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)PepsiCo: 6 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)PepsiCo: 9 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)PepsiCo: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)93% from settlement history blended with transcripts
VibeK 70¢Vibe: 2 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Vibe: 0 times, FY24 Q4Vibe: 6 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Vibe: 0 times, FY25 Q2Vibe: 4 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Vibe: 0 times, FY25 Q4Vibe: 7 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Vibe: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)78% from settlement history blended with transcripts
FemaleK 46¢Female: 0 times, FY24 Q3Female: 6 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Female: 3 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Female: 4 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Female: 2 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Female: 2 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Female: 0 times, FY26 Q1Female: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)74% from settlement history blended with transcripts
TariffK 46¢Tariff: 0 times, FY24 Q3Tariff: 3 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Tariff: 2 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Tariff: 5 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Tariff: 9 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Tariff: 5 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Tariff: 0 times, FY26 Q1Tariff: 0 times, FY26 Q269% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Electric VibeK 46¢Electric Vibe: 0 times, FY24 Q3Electric Vibe: 0 times, FY24 Q4Electric Vibe: 0 times, FY25 Q1Electric Vibe: 0 times, FY25 Q2Electric Vibe: 0 times, FY25 Q3Electric Vibe: 0 times, FY25 Q4Electric Vibe: 4 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Electric Vibe: 1 time, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)59% from settlement history blended with transcripts
CompetitionK 46¢Competition: 1 time, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Competition: 1 time, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Competition: 3 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Competition: 0 times, FY25 Q2Competition: 0 times, FY25 Q3Competition: 0 times, FY25 Q4Competition: 0 times, FY26 Q1Competition: 2 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)46% from settlement history blended with transcripts

LYFT · Lyft

LYFTLyft
LYFT: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
WordFY24 Q3FY24 Q4FY25 Q1FY25 Q2FY25 Q3FY25 Q4FY26 Q1FY26 Q2Chance
next call: probability
WaymoK 46¢Waymo: 1 time, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Waymo: 7 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Waymo: 2 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Waymo: 0 times, FY25 Q2Waymo: 14 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Waymo: 5 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Waymo: 4 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Waymo: 4 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)92% from settlement history blended with transcripts
NashvilleK 46¢Nashville: 0 times, FY24 Q3Nashville: 0 times, FY24 Q4Nashville: 0 times, FY25 Q1Nashville: 0 times, FY25 Q2Nashville: 5 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Nashville: 3 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Nashville: 5 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Nashville: 5 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)83% from settlement history blended with transcripts
ExpansionK 46¢Expansion: 2 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Expansion: 2 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Expansion: 4 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Expansion: 1 time, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Expansion: 0 times, FY25 Q3Expansion: 4 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Expansion: 3 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Expansion: 3 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)82% from settlement history blended with transcripts
DoorDashK 46¢DoorDash: 4 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)DoorDash: 2 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)DoorDash: 0 times, FY25 Q1DoorDash: 5 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)DoorDash: 0 times, FY25 Q3DoorDash: 1 time, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)DoorDash: 5 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)DoorDash: 4 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)80% from settlement history blended with transcripts
InnovationK 46¢Innovation: 4 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Innovation: 3 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Innovation: 2 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Innovation: 8 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)Innovation: 3 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Innovation: 1 time, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Innovation: 0 times, FY26 Q1Innovation: 2 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)74% from settlement history blended with transcripts
RevenueK 46¢Revenue: 10 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)Revenue: 3 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)Revenue: 1 time, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)Revenue: 0 times, FY25 Q2Revenue: 2 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)Revenue: 6 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)Revenue: 4 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)Revenue: 0 times, FY26 Q271% from settlement history blended with transcripts