Will Advance Auto Parts say “Headwind”?

Advance Auto Parts said “Headwind” 13 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 6, 10, 4, 2, 4, 8, 6, 13 times. As of Oct 26, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Advance Auto Parts saying “Headwind” has settled yet. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 92% (from the transcript model), not a forecast.

92%from transcript modelNext: Earnings call, Nov 5, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
76¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Advance Auto Parts

Headwind

Probability
92% · n=0
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 · said 13 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

13 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).

Shane O'KellycompanypreparedIn transcript

…Our margin outlook balances the tailwind from recent tariff refunds with incremental headwinds stemming from shifts in channel mix and increased commodity costs. We will…

Ryan GrimslandcompanypreparedIn transcript

…reduction in discretionary spending compared to last year, and weather-related drivers during Q2 accounted for approximately 100-150 basis points of comps headwind in the quarter.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 21, 2026 · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

6 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ryan GrimslandcompanypreparedIn transcript

…comparable sales growth of 3.5%, which was offset by two points of headwind created from cycling $51 million in liquidation sales related to the store…

Ryan GrimslandcompanypreparedIn transcript

…Pro comp. While the optimization of national accounts is creating a natural headwind in the Pro channel this year, our underlying comparable sales trajectory is…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 13, 2026 · said 8 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

8 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ryan GrimslandcompanypreparedIn transcript

…our new own brand ARGOS. These transitions led to a higher-than-expected markdown headwind of about 50 basis points, which impacted comps. This activity has been…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 14, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 22, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 26, 2025 · said 10 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 14, 2024 · said 6 times (counts)

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Questions

How many times did Advance Auto Parts say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
Advance Auto Parts said “Headwind” 13 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 6, 10, 4, 2, 4, 8, 6, 13 times.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Advance Auto Parts: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAP/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=advance-auto-parts&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=advance-auto-parts&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP