Will Advance Auto Parts say “Tailwind”?

Advance Auto Parts said “Tailwind” 3 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 3, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Advance Auto Parts saying “Tailwind” has settled yet. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (from the transcript model), not a forecast.

60%from transcript modelNext: Earnings call, Nov 5, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Advance Auto Parts

Tailwind

Probability
60% · n=0
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Shane O'KellycompanypreparedIn transcript

…second half compared to trends during Q2. Our margin outlook balances the tailwind from recent tariff refunds with incremental headwinds stemming from shifts in channel…

Ryan GrimslandcompanypreparedIn transcript

…sales volume. These headwinds were offset by approximately 40 basis points of tailwind from immaterial LIFO and warehousing expenses in the quarter, compared to a…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 21, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Shane O'KellycompanypreparedIn transcript

…monitoring consumer spending patterns as we transition beyond the recent tax refund tailwinds that have shaped trends in recent months. While higher gas prices may…

Ryan GrimslandcompanyqaIn transcript

…still in that ballpark. We also don't expect any major tax refund tailwinds going into it. We begin lapping inflation kind of in the second…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 13, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 14, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 22, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ryan GrimslandcompanyqaIn transcript

…got the headwinds of -- in margins specifically that there are now tailwinds, but headwinds we faced last year in the back half of the…

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 26, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 14, 2024 · not said

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Questions

How many times did Advance Auto Parts say “Tailwind” on its last earnings call?
Advance Auto Parts said “Tailwind” 3 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 3, 3 times.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Advance Auto Parts: ‘Tailwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAP/words/tailwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=advance-auto-parts&word=tailwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=advance-auto-parts&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP