Advance Auto Parts: FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 20, 2026

On its Aug 20, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Advance Auto Parts said 7 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

12 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Tariff Yes89✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
Ron Yes55✓54%transcripts from the transcript model–
ARGOS Yes34✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
Advance Reward Yes22✓64%transcripts from the transcript model–
Good Part Yes22✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
LIFO Yes11✓74%transcripts from the transcript model–
Net Promoter Yes11✓42%transcripts from the transcript model–
Worldpac No00✓74%transcripts from the transcript model–
Zebra No00✓54%transcripts from the transcript model–
Peak Driving No00✓53%transcripts from the transcript model–
Same Store No01✓45%transcripts from the transcript model–
Palantir No00✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Shane O'Kellycompany“Tariff” · prepared

…to trends during Q2. Our margin outlook balances the tailwind from recent tariff refunds with incremental headwinds stemming from shifts in channel mix and increased…

Ryan Grimslandcompany“Ron” · qa

…to give specific guidance for next year. But I'll tell you what Ron's doing in supply chain, because the bulk of this year is supply…

Shane O'Kellycompany“ARGOS” · qa

…in our stores. We know that value plays are important. We've got ARGOS, which is our private brand of oil, and we're now expanding across…

Shane O'Kellycompany“Advance Reward” · prepared

…engagement. We are collaborating with vendors on targeted media campaigns, leveraging Advance Rewards, providing store incentives, and optimizing online paid search to stimulate transaction…

Shane O'Kellycompany“Good Part” · qa

…using, what geography of customers we're talking to, and how we get them in there. We're going to continue to promote our Good Parts campaign.

Ryan Grimslandcompany“LIFO” · prepared

…headwinds were offset by approximately 40 basis points of tailwind from immaterial LIFO and warehousing expenses in the quarter, compared to a headwind in the…

Shane O'Kellycompany“Net Promoter” · prepared

…quarter provided further evidence of progress on our store-based initiatives. NPS, or Net Promoter Scores, have improved to nearly 80 points from the high 60-point…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/advance-auto-parts:2026-08-20:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=advance-auto-parts:2026-08-20:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP