Will Applied Optoelectronics say “China / Chinese”?
Applied Optoelectronics said “China / Chinese” 3 times on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 6, 3, 4, 1, 2, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Applied Optoelectronics said “China / Chinese” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 83% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 77¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Applied Optoelectronics
China / Chinese
- Probability
- 83% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 6 by speakers the rule does not count.
…equipment, everything. I think it's, yes, there'll be some new supply in China. We are not surprised because that's what market needs. Most of them,…
…at all because the demand is much bigger than the worldwide capacity, even including all the company in Taiwan, China or other countries like Japan.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…Taiwan focused on optical transceivers, as well as a larger 1.2 million sq ft facility in Ningbo, China, primarily dedicated to transceiver and CATV manufacturing.
…Sorry, not much we can say. Four of them are outside of China. I would say right now we should have enough inventory minimum for…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…10% of the value of these components used is currently sourced from China, and we have a path to further reduce that exposure to near…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | China / Chinese |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How many times did Applied Optoelectronics say “China / Chinese” on its last earnings call?
- Applied Optoelectronics said “China / Chinese” 3 times on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 6, 3, 4, 1, 2, 3 times.
- How often does Applied Optoelectronics say “China / Chinese”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Applied Optoelectronics said “China / Chinese” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Applied Optoelectronics says “China / Chinese” next time?
- 83%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Applied Optoelectronics: ‘China / Chinese’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAOI/words/china-or-chinese (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=applied-optoelectronics&word=china%20%2F%20chinese · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=applied-optoelectronics&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP