Airbnb (ABNB)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 70 word markets on Airbnb’s earnings calls and other events since 2025, on 28 different words; most reliably said: “International” (5 of 5). Next call: Nov 5, 2026 (13 words listed).
| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boutique | 1 time: Boutique, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Boutique, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Boutique, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Boutique, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Boutique, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 6 times: Boutique, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Boutique, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Boutique, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 4/850% | 8/2335% | 86%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| International | 0 times: International, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: International, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 4 times: International, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: International, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: International, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: International, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: International, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: International, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 3/838% | 17/2374% | 76%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Take Rate | 0 times: Take Rate, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 4 times: Take Rate, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Take Rate, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Take Rate, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Take Rate, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 2 times: Take Rate, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Take Rate, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: Take Rate, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 2/825% | 17/2374% | 75%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Project Hawaii | 0 times: Project Hawaii, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Project Hawaii, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Project Hawaii, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Project Hawaii, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Project Hawaii, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 2 times: Project Hawaii, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Project Hawaii, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Project Hawaii, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/2313% | 63%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Acquired / Acquisition | 0 times: Acquired / Acquisition, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Acquired / Acquisition, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Acquired / Acquisition, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 7 times: Acquired / Acquisition, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Acquired / Acquisition, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Acquired / Acquisition, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Acquired / Acquisition, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: Acquired / Acquisition, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 0/80% | 14/2361% | 55%transcripts from the transcript model | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Third Party | 2 times: Third Party, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Third Party, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Third Party, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: Third Party, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Third Party, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Third Party, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 4 times: Third Party, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Third Party, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 5/862% | 0/80% | 6/2326% | 45%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Service Agent | 1 time: Service Agent, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Service Agent, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Service Agent, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Service Agent, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Service Agent, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Service Agent, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Service Agent, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Service Agent, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 6/875% | 1/812% | 8/2335% | 40%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Domestic | 1 time: Domestic, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Domestic, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Domestic, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Domestic, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Domestic, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Domestic, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Domestic, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Domestic, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 6/875% | 2/825% | 15/2365% | 38%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Code / Coding | 0 times: Code / Coding, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Code / Coding, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Code / Coding, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Code / Coding, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Code / Coding, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Code / Coding, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 4 times: Code / Coding, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Code / Coding, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/234% | 31%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Delta | 0 times: Delta, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Delta, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Delta, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Delta, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Delta, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Delta, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 4 times: Delta, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Delta, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 4/2317% | 31%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Social Media | 0 times: Social Media, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 2 times: Social Media, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Social Media, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 8 times: Social Media, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Social Media, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Social Media, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Social Media, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Social Media, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 4/850% | 2/825% | 10/2343% | 29%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Home Sharing | 0 times: Home Sharing, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Home Sharing, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Home Sharing, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: Home Sharing, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Home Sharing, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Home Sharing, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Home Sharing, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Home Sharing, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 2/825% | 0/80% | 4/2317% | 23%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Holiday | 0 times: Holiday, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Holiday, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Holiday, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Holiday, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Holiday, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Holiday, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Holiday, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Holiday, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 4/2317% | 10%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:32 UTC.
Every word
1–17 of 17, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Nov '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acquisition | 0 times: Acquisition, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Acquisition, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Acquisition, Q1’25 May '25 | 6 times: Acquisition, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Acquisition, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Acquisition, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Acquisition, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Acquisition, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 0/80% | 10/2343% | 53%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| World Cup | 0 times: World Cup, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: World Cup, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: World Cup, Q1’25 May '25 | 5 times: World Cup, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: World Cup, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 7 times: World Cup, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: World Cup, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: World Cup, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 4/850% | 6/2326% | 78%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| China | 1 time: China, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: China, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: China, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: China, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: China, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: China, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: China, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: China, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 2/825% | 0/80% | 11/2348% | 15%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Agent / Service Agent | 3 times: Agent / Service Agent, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Agent / Service Agent, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 5 times: Agent / Service Agent, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 10 times: Agent / Service Agent, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Agent / Service Agent, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 7 times: Agent / Service Agent, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Agent / Service Agent, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Agent / Service Agent, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 5/862% | 15/2365% | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 7 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 7 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 7 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 26 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 45 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 41 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 50 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 45 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 5/862% | 15/2365% | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence10+ times | 7 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q3’24 Nov '24, below the threshold | 11 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 7 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q1’25 May '25, below the threshold | 30 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 50 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 52 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 53 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 49 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 2/825% | 12/2352% | 86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Experiences / Servicesevery call | 11 times: Experiences / Services, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 17 times: Experiences / Services, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Experiences / Services, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 80 times: Experiences / Services, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 43 times: Experiences / Services, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 8 times: Experiences / Services, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 9 times: Experiences / Services, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 22 times: Experiences / Services, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 23/23100% | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Guest20+ times | 37 times: Guest 20+ times, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 25 times: Guest 20+ times, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 23 times: Guest 20+ times, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 11 times: Guest 20+ times, Q2’25 Aug '25, below the threshold | 26 times: Guest 20+ times, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 30 times: Guest 20+ times, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 32 times: Guest 20+ times, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 27 times: Guest 20+ times, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 0/80% | 18/2378% | 71%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Headwind | 0 times: Headwind, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 4 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 6 times: Headwind, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 3 times: Headwind, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Headwind, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 4/850% | 3/838% | 12/2352% | 62%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Hotelevery call | 17 times: Hotel, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 21 times: Hotel, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 22 times: Hotel, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 14 times: Hotel, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 60 times: Hotel, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 31 times: Hotel, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 49 times: Hotel, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 44 times: Hotel, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 4/850% | 23/23100% | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Tailwind | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 2 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 5 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 4/850% | 15/2365% | 77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Fiscalnever said 10+ times | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/230% | 2%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Interest Rate | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/234% | 21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Rare Find | 0 times: Rare Find, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Rare Find, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Rare Find, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Rare Find, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Rare Find, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Rare Find, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Rare Find, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Rare Find, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/234% | 16%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Recession | 0 times: Recession, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Recession, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Recession, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Recession, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Recession, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Recession, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Recession, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Recession, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 7/2330% | 21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Regulation / Regulatory | 0 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 3 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Regulation / Regulatory, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Regulation / Regulatory, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 2 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Regulation / Regulatory, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 5/862% | 1/812% | 9/2339% | 21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Vacation | 1 time: Vacation, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Vacation, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Vacation, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Vacation, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Vacation, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Vacation, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Vacation, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Vacation, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 6/875% | 1/812% | 19/2383% | 48%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 56 of 56 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 24 | 11 yes · 13 no | 24/24 (100%) |
| May 7, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 8 yes · 4 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 10 | 5 yes · 5 no | 10/10 (100%) |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 10 | 4 yes · 6 no | 10/10 (100%) |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 1, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 8, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Airbnb (ABNB): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ABNB (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/airbnb · words: /api/v1/history?entity=airbnb · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP