Will Advance Auto Parts say “Tariff”?
Advance Auto Parts said “Tariff” 8 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 26, 19, 5, 6, 1, 8 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Advance Auto Parts said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 89% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 71¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Advance Auto Parts
Tariff
- Probability
- 89% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
8 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…to trends during Q2. Our margin outlook balances the tailwind from recent tariff refunds with incremental headwinds stemming from shifts in channel mix and increased…
…gross margin expansion in Q2 compared to the same period last year. Tariff refunds contributed $26 million in gross margin, accounting for 130 basis points…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…in the two - three percent range for the year. The recent tariff regulations have not altered our inflation expectations. In terms of channel performance,…
…don't think you've mentioned yet, others have started talking more about potential tariff refunds. I guess the question is, do you have any commentary there…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…year, we also navigated a series of external challenges, including a volatile tariff and consumer spending environment. We maintained focus on executing actions to improve…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tariff |  Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
Questions
- How many times did Advance Auto Parts say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Advance Auto Parts said “Tariff” 8 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 26, 19, 5, 6, 1, 8 times.
- How often does Advance Auto Parts say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Advance Auto Parts said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Advance Auto Parts says “Tariff” next time?
- 89%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Advance Auto Parts: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAP/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=advance-auto-parts&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=advance-auto-parts&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP