Advance Auto Parts (AAP)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 12 word markets on Advance Auto Parts’ earnings calls since 2026, on 12 different words. Next call: Nov 5, 2026 (12 words listed).
Next: Earnings call ·
12 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Headwind | 6 times: Headwind, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 10 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 4 times: Headwind, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 8 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 6 times: Headwind, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 13 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 63/7584% | 92%transcripts from the transcript model | 74¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 2 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 26 times: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 19 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 5 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 6 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Tariff, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 8 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 7/888% | 17/7523% | 89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 72¢ Kalshi |
| ARGOS | 0 times: ARGOS, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: ARGOS, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: ARGOS, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: ARGOS, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: ARGOS, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 4 times: ARGOS, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 6 times: ARGOS, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: ARGOS, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/754% | 78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 66¢ Kalshi |
| Advance Reward | 0 times: Advance Reward, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Advance Reward, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Advance Reward, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Advance Reward, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Advance Reward, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 4 times: Advance Reward, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Advance Reward, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Advance Reward, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 3/754% | 76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 62¢ Kalshi |
| Tailwind | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 3 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: Tailwind, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 33/7544% | 60%transcripts from the transcript model | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Good Part | 0 times: Good Part, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Good Part, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Good Part, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Good Part, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Good Part, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Good Part, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Good Part, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Good Part, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 1/812% | 4/755% | 55%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Worldpac | 14 times: Worldpac, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 8 times: Worldpac, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Worldpac, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Worldpac, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Worldpac, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Worldpac, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Worldpac, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Worldpac, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 7/888% | 4/850% | 51/7568% | 46%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Zebra | 1 time: Zebra, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Zebra, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Zebra, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Zebra, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Zebra, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 2 times: Zebra, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Zebra, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Zebra, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 3/754% | 38%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Peak Driving | 0 times: Peak Driving, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Peak Driving, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Peak Driving, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Peak Driving, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Peak Driving, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Peak Driving, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 6 times: Peak Driving, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Peak Driving, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/751% | 37%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Same Store | 1 time: Same Store, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Same Store, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Same Store, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Same Store, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Same Store, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Same Store, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Same Store, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Same Store, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 3/838% | 3/838% | 10/7513% | 30%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Palantir | 0 times: Palantir, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Palantir, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Palantir, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Palantir, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Palantir, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Palantir, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Palantir, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Palantir, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/751% | 20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 30¢ Kalshi |
| Iran / Middle Eastnever said | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/750% | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | 15¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:32 UTC.
Every word
1–3 of 3, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIFO | 0 times: LIFO, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: LIFO, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 4 times: LIFO, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: LIFO, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 7 times: LIFO, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: LIFO, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: LIFO, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: LIFO, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 4/850% | 30/7540% | 82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Net Promoter | 0 times: Net Promoter, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Net Promoter, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Net Promoter, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Net Promoter, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Net Promoter, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Net Promoter, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Net Promoter, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Net Promoter, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 14/7519% | 58%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Ron | 0 times: Ron, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Ron, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Ron, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Ron, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Ron, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 3 times: Ron, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Ron, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 5 times: Ron, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 1/812% | 3/754% | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 12 of 12 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 7 yes · 5 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| May 21, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 22, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 29, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 15, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Advance Auto Parts (AAP): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAP (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/advance-auto-parts · words: /api/v1/history?entity=advance-auto-parts · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP