Jamie Dimon

Business · Finance & cryptoPersonMachine-attributedUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 06:04 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 68 word markets on Jamie Dimon’s appearances since 2025, on 40 different words.

History Wall

1–40 of 40, most settled first

Jamie Dimon: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Nov 7 ’25keynote	Dec 7keynote	Jan 22 ’26keynote	Mar 31interview	May 29latest	Last 5	Settled	Probability
AI / Artificial Intelligenceevery time	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Dec 7 keynote, counts as said	7 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jan 22 ’26 keynote, counts as said	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 31 interview	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 29 keynote	4/4100%	4/4100%	88%n=4 from settlement history
Chinaevery time	2 times: China, Nov 7 ’25 keynote, counts as said	5 times: China, Dec 7 keynote, counts as said	4 times: China, Jan 22 ’26 keynote, counts as said	YSettled yes: China, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: China, May 29 keynote	4/4100%	4/4100%	78%n=4 from settlement history
Inflation	1 time: Inflation, Nov 7 ’25 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Inflation, Dec 7 keynote	6 times: Inflation, Jan 22 ’26 keynote, counts as said	NSettled no: Inflation, Mar 31 interview	YSettled yes: Inflation, May 29 keynote	3/475%	3/475%	80%n=4 from settlement history
Regulation / Regulatory	4 times: Regulation / Regulatory, Nov 7 ’25 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Regulation / Regulatory, Dec 7 keynote	1 time: Regulation / Regulatory, Jan 22 ’26 keynote, counts as said	YSettled yes: Regulation / Regulatory, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Regulation / Regulatory, May 29 keynote	3/3100%	3/3100%	76%n=3 from settlement history
Tariff	2 times: Tariff, Nov 7 ’25 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Tariff, Dec 7 keynote	7 times: Tariff, Jan 22 ’26 keynote, counts as said	NSettled no: Tariff, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Tariff, May 29 keynote	2/367%	2/367%	33%n=3 from settlement history
Trump	–Not listed: Trump, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Trump, Dec 7 keynote	10 times: Trump, Jan 22 ’26 keynote, counts as said	YSettled yes: Trump, Mar 31 interview	NSettled no: Trump, May 29 keynote	2/367%	2/367%	47%n=3 from settlement history
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	–Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Dec 7 keynote	0 times: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	NSettled no: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Mar 31 interview	YSettled yes: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, May 29 keynote	1/333%	1/333%	55%n=3 from settlement history
Gold	0 times: Gold, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Gold, Dec 7 keynote	0 times: Gold, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Gold, Mar 31 interview	YSettled yes: Gold, May 29 keynote	1/333%	1/333%	50%n=3 from settlement history
Zohran / Mamdani	0 times: Zohran / Mamdani, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	NSettled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Mar 31 interview	YSettled yes: Zohran / Mamdani, May 29 keynote	1/333%	1/333%	57%n=3 from settlement history
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	YSettled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 31 interview	YSettled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 29 keynote	2/2100%	2/2100%	81%n=2 from settlement history
National Security	–Not listed: National Security, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	1 time: National Security, Dec 7 keynote, counts as said	2 times: National Security, Jan 22 ’26 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: National Security, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: National Security, May 29 keynote	2/2100%	2/2100%	82%n=2 from settlement history
Energy / Nuclear	–Not listed: Energy / Nuclear, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Energy / Nuclear, Dec 7 keynote	0 times: Energy / Nuclear, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Energy / Nuclear, Mar 31 interview	YSettled yes: Energy / Nuclear, May 29 keynote	1/250%	1/250%	59%n=2 from settlement history
Oil	–Not listed: Oil, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Oil, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Oil, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	NSettled no: Oil, Mar 31 interview	YSettled yes: Oil, May 29 keynote	1/250%	1/250%	71%n=2 from settlement history
Private Credit / Private Equity	–Not listed: Private Credit / Private Equity, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Private Credit / Private Equity, Dec 7 keynote	0 times: Private Credit / Private Equity, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Private Credit / Private Equity, Mar 31 interview	YSettled yes: Private Credit / Private Equity, May 29 keynote	1/250%	1/250%	59%n=2 from settlement history
Bubble	0 times: Bubble, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Bubble, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Bubble, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Bubble, Mar 31 interview	NSettled no: Bubble, May 29 keynote	0/20%	0/20%	21%n=2 from settlement history
Stock Market	–Not listed: Stock Market, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Stock Market, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Stock Market, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	NSettled no: Stock Market, Mar 31 interview	NSettled no: Stock Market, May 29 keynote	0/20%	0/20%	24%n=2 from settlement history
Bubble / Innovation	–Not listed: Bubble / Innovation, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Bubble / Innovation, Dec 7 keynote	1 time: Bubble / Innovation, Jan 22 ’26 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Bubble / Innovation, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Bubble / Innovation, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
China / Chinese	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Mar 31 interview	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Economy / Economic	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	3 times: Economy / Economic, Dec 7 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Energy	–Not listed: Energy, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	1 time: Energy, Dec 7 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Energy, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Energy, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Energy, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Headquarter	1 time: Headquarter, Nov 7 ’25 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Headquarter, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Headquarter, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Headquarter, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Headquarter, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Innovation	–Not listed: Innovation, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	1 time: Innovation, Dec 7 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Innovation, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Innovation, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Innovation, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Investment / Invested	–Not listed: Investment / Invested, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	4 times: Investment / Invested, Dec 7 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Investment / Invested, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Investment / Invested, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Investment / Invested, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Iran	–Not listed: Iran, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Iran, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Iran, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	YSettled yes: Iran, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Iran, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Iran / Iranian	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 31 interview	YSettled yes: Iran / Iranian, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Manufacturing	–Not listed: Manufacturing, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	2 times: Manufacturing, Dec 7 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Manufacturing, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Manufacturing, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Manufacturing, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Rare Earth / Mineral	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	1 time: Rare Earth / Mineral, Dec 7 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Soft Landing	1 time: Soft Landing, Nov 7 ’25 keynote, counts as said	–Not listed: Soft Landing, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Soft Landing, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Soft Landing, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Soft Landing, May 29 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Bitcoin / Crypto	0 times: Bitcoin / Crypto, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Defense Spending / Defense Budget	–Not listed: Defense Spending / Defense Budget, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	0 times: Defense Spending / Defense Budget, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Defense Spending / Defense Budget, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Defense Spending / Defense Budget, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Defense Spending / Defense Budget, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Deficit	0 times: Deficit, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Deficit, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Deficit, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Deficit, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Deficit, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Drone	–Not listed: Drone, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	0 times: Drone, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Drone, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Drone, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Drone, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Merger / M&A	–Not listed: Merger / M&A, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Merger / M&A, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Merger / M&A, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	NSettled no: Merger / M&A, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Merger / M&A, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Private Credit	0 times: Private Credit, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Private Credit, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Private Credit, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Private Credit, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Private Credit, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Rate	0 times: Rate, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Rate, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Rate, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Rate, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Rate, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Recession	0 times: Recession, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Recession, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Recession, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Recession, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Recession, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Remote	–Not listed: Remote, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Remote, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Remote, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	NSettled no: Remote, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Remote, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Stagflation	0 times: Stagflation, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Stagflation, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Stagflation, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Stagflation, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Stagflation, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Stockpile	–Not listed: Stockpile, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	0 times: Stockpile, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Stockpile, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Stockpile, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Stockpile, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Unemployment	0 times: Unemployment, Nov 7 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Unemployment, Dec 7 keynote	–Not listed: Unemployment, Jan 22 ’26 keynote	–Not listed: Unemployment, Mar 31 interview	–Not listed: Unemployment, May 29 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Jamie Dimon: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jamie-dimon (CC BY 4.0)

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