Will Jamie Dimon say “Iran”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jamie Dimon said “Iran” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes; Nov 7, 2025 – Jan 22, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jamie Dimon
Iran
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 keynotes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a thread and you can debate this all day long between Ukraine, Iran, North Korea, China's aid in abetting all of that their desire to…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Iran |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jamie Dimon say “Iran”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jamie Dimon said “Iran” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Jamie Dimon says “Iran” next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jamie Dimon: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jamie-dimon/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jamie-dimon&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jamie-dimon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP