Jamie Dimon: America Business Forum, Nov 7, 2025

At the keynote on Nov 7, 2025, Jamie Dimon said 6 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Part of America business forum (2 appearances).

Updated

Markets

16 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Regulation / Regulatory Yes45✓–new new word, no probability yet–
China Yes22✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff Yes23✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Headquarter Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Inflation Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Soft Landing Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Bitcoin / Crypto No02✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Bubble No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Deficit No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Gold No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Private Credit No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Rate No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Recession No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Stagflation No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Unemployment No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Zohran / Mamdani No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Captions · machine-attributed · America Business Forum (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

Where the listed words were said

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Regulation / Regulatory” · 26:55

some of this dereg, our regulatory system has got I'm not talking about banks, by the way. Any one of you get involved in regulations.…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“China” · 6:00

…years ago I sent the consumer banking team 15 years ago to China and they were like why are we going to China we're an…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Tariff” · 31:19

…one thing. Okay. You know, you you you there's a you mentioned tariffs and trade and politics and you know geopolitics and you know potential…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Headquarter” · 9:56

…to a lot of corporations, they they all stay at the corporate headquarters and talk to each other. They're not going on a sales call.…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Soft Landing” · 32:15

…should be prepared for and hopefully you know continue to have this soft landing but it may not happen. We we just don't know. You…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/jamie-dimon:2025-11-07:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=jamie-dimon:2025-11-07:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP