Will Jamie Dimon say “China”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jamie Dimon said “China” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes; Nov 7, 2025 – Jan 22, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jamie Dimon
China
- Probability
- 78% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
4 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
I I think that's a real stretch. You know, China has a $15,000 per person GDP. Ours is 85. We the most dynamic economy and…
…uh uh Japan Australia Philippines they're all rearming on their own that's China's actions caused that not America's you actions. We we we're part of…
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted.
…and all of our medical ingredients come from or 85% come from China and we've written about it we've talked about it we we're quite…
…had changes taking place in the world which is the rise of China whether you think they're an adversary potential adversary competitor but having the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Jamie Dimon say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jamie Dimon said “China” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Jamie Dimon says “China” next time?
- 78%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jamie Dimon: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jamie-dimon/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jamie-dimon&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jamie-dimon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP