Jamie Dimon: Interview, Mar 31, 2026

Tue, Mar 31InterviewHistory onlyJamie Dimon

Updated

Markets

14 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
China Yes67%n=3 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes63%n=2 from settlement history–
Regulation / Regulatory Yes62%n=2 from settlement history–
Trump Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Inflation No62%n=2 from settlement history–
Tariff No62%n=2 from settlement history–
Merger / M&A No–new new word, no probability yet–
Oil No–new new word, no probability yet–
Remote No–new new word, no probability yet–
Stock Market No–new new word, no probability yet–
Zohran / Mamdani No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXDIMONMENTION-26MAR31 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP