Will Jamie Dimon say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jamie Dimon said “Tariff” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes; Nov 7, 2025 – Jan 22, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jamie Dimon
Tariff
- Probability
- 33% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
7 counted; 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
you know, trade and tariffs are part of that, but not the only part of that. So, I still think that's the best thing to…
…echo chamber. There are three parts to trade. Okay. And some require tariffs. Okay. One part is national security. We should do what we have…
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…one thing. Okay. You know, you you you there's a you mentioned tariffs and trade and politics and you know geopolitics and you know potential…
…these problems we have sometimes it isn't, you know, is people say tariffs. Well, it that's just one thing. You know, there are all these…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Jamie Dimon say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jamie Dimon said “Tariff” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Jamie Dimon says “Tariff” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jamie Dimon: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jamie-dimon/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jamie-dimon&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jamie-dimon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP