Will Jamie Dimon say “Deficit”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jamie Dimon did not say “Deficit” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 7, 2025.
Of the last 3 keynotes we have transcripts for (Nov 7, 2025 – Jan 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jamie Dimon
Deficit
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 keynotes
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…know, markets were down 40%. He resigns in disgrace. Inflation and with deficits half what and deficits are inflationary with deficits half what they are…
…that's all true we need to do that we have a huge deficit that's a huge problem but good policy can drive growth and it's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Deficit |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Jamie Dimon say “Deficit”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Jamie Dimon did not say “Deficit” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 7, 2025.
- What is the probability Jamie Dimon says “Deficit” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jamie Dimon: ‘Deficit’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jamie-dimon/words/deficit (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jamie-dimon&word=deficit · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jamie-dimon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP