Will Jamie Dimon say “National Security”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jamie Dimon said “National Security” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 7, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 82% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 keynotes we have transcripts for (Nov 7, 2025 – Jan 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jamie Dimon
National Security
- Probability
- 82% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 3 keynotes
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted.
…parts to trade. Okay. And some require tariffs. Okay. One part is national security. We should do what we have to do to create national…
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…was before World War I. Everybody out for themselves. Everyone's got different national security interests, whether it's food or energy or water. Uh and you…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | National Security |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | National Security | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does Jamie Dimon say “National Security”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jamie Dimon said “National Security” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 7, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Jamie Dimon says “National Security” next time?
- 82%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jamie Dimon: ‘National Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jamie-dimon/words/national-security (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jamie-dimon&word=national%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jamie-dimon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP