Jamie Dimon: Reagan National Economic Forum, May 29, 2026
At the keynote on May 29, 2026, Jamie Dimon said 11 of the 14 words Kalshi listed.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 11 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 86%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 73%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 67%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Energy / Nuclear | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Private Credit / Private Equity | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | 22%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Yes | 21%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Gold | Yes | 17%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 80%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bubble | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/jamie-dimon:2026-05-29:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=jamie-dimon:2026-05-29:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP