Will Jamie Dimon say “Rare Earth / Mineral”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jamie Dimon said “Rare Earth / Mineral” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Dec 7, 2025.
Of the last 3 keynotes we have transcripts for (Nov 7, 2025 – Jan 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jamie Dimon
Rare Earth / Mineral
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 keynotes
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…don't like carnivorous spilled milk and we missed and you hear about rare earths and you know the speed of change and all the things…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Rare Earth / Mineral |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does Jamie Dimon say “Rare Earth / Mineral”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Jamie Dimon said “Rare Earth / Mineral” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Dec 7, 2025.
- What is the probability Jamie Dimon says “Rare Earth / Mineral” next time?
- 75%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jamie Dimon: ‘Rare Earth / Mineral’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jamie-dimon/words/mineral-or-rare-earth (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jamie-dimon&word=mineral%20%2F%20rare%20earth · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jamie-dimon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP